The Goat’s surf forecast

SURF FORECAST ISSUED THURSDAY 17 JULY 2008. 5 DAY OUTLOOK FOR SYDNEY:

Little wave tomorrow, but
For the weekend – FLAT…
Westerlies will be a blowin’…
That don’t rhyme but I don’t care.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre nage but only at beaches that like dead South swell.

Saturday: small remnants before heading to flat.

Sunday: Flat…

Monday: Flat…

Tuesday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South friendly places.

Water temp is 18.

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for Thursday evening
Fine. Light north to northwest winds.
Precis: Fine.

Forecast for Friday
The chance of an early light shower, then a fine mostly sunny day. Light to moderate west to northwest winds freshening in the afternoon.
Precis: Fine. Mostly sunny day.

City: Min: 9 Max: 20 Parramatta: Min: 6 Max: 19
Terrey Hills: Min: 8 Max: 18 Penrith: Min: 6 Max: 19
Liverpool: Min: 4 Max: 19 Richmond: Min: 3 Max: 20

UV Alert: Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday Fine. High cloud.

City: Min: 9 Max: 18
West: Min: 3 Max: 18

Sunday Windy. Chance afternoon shower/thunderstorm.

City: Min: 11 Max: 19
West: Min: 5 Max: 19

Monday Windy. Mainly fine.

City: Min: 9 Max: 17
West: Min: 5 Max: 17

Tuesday Fine.

City: Min: 8 Max: 16
West: Min: 2 Max: 16

Wednesday Shower or two.

City: Min: 9 Max: 17
West: Min: 3 Max: 17

Thursday Chance rain developing

City: Min: 9 Max: 15
West: Min: 5 Max: 14

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: N 10/15 knots, freshening to 15/20 knots chiefly offshore. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: W/NW 15/20 knots strengthening to W/SW 25/30 offshore knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres later. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Saturday Outlook: Wind: W/SW 10/20 knots, tending N/NW.
Sunday Outlook: Wind: N/NW increasing to 25/35 knots.

And here’s the snow outlook…
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
ACT

SNOWY MOUNTAINS REGION FORECAST
Covering Southern Tablelands and Southwest Slopes above 1200 metres
Issued at 4:30pm on Thursday the 17th of July 2008

Warning Summary:
Nil.

Current Weather Situation and Future Developments
A cold front will cross the region tonight bringing isolated snow showers. These
will become scattered on Friday in the cold air behind the front, with snow
settling down to 1100 metres. Mainly fine weather will return on Saturday ahead
of a more significant cold front, which will move through on the weekend
bringing widespread snowfalls and strong winds to the region on Sunday.

Forecast for the remainder of Thursday
Cloud increasing tonight with isolated snow showers above 1300 metres. Moderate
northwest winds freshening at higher elevations.

chance of snow 1500 m 1900 m
Night (6 pm/6 am) 60 % 80 %

Forecast for Friday
Scattered snow showers, mainly on the western slopes, settling down to 1100
metres. Freshening northwest winds, strong about the peaks.
UV Alert: Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Thredbo Top Station Snow showers. Min: -4 Max: -1
Perisher Valley Snow showers. Min: -4 Max: 1
Cabramurra Snow showers. Min: 0 Max: 2

chance of snow 1500 m 1900 m
Day (6 am/6 pm) 60 % 80 %
Night (6 pm/6 am) 40 % 70 %

Forecast for Saturday
Becoming fine with snow showers contracting above 1600 metres and clearing
during the day. Freshening northwest winds, strong about the peaks at times.
Thredbo Top Station Snow shower or two. Min: -6 Max: 1

Forecast for Sunday
Snow showers above 1700m at first, lowering to 1400m. Fresh to strong northwest
to westerly winds, possibly reaching gale force about the peaks.
Thredbo Top Station Snow showers, windy. Min: -2 Max: -1

Forecast for Monday
Partly cloudy with isolated snow showers down to 1200 metres. Winds tending
southwesterly.
Thredbo Top Station Chance snow shower. Min: -3 Max: -1

Snow Depth Observations Depth (cm)
Spencers Creek (1830 m – out from Charlotte Pass) 100.0
Deep Creek (1620 m – SW of Cabramurra)) 44.5
Three Mile Dam (1460 m SW of Kiandra) 9.3
Source: Snowy Hydro, updated weekly, Last updated: 17 July 2008

Quantitative rainfall Cabramurra Perisher Valley
Tonight (3 pm/9 am) 1 0
Friday (24 h from 9 am) 1 1
Saturday (24 h from 9 am) 1 0

Saturday early at Dee Why

0700 the first rays of a new day at Dee Why

0845 tiny Northy

Mobile post sent by mrRealSurf using Utterz.  Replies.  mp3

Oh dear, looking small…

Hello Friends,

Well, as anticipated yesterday, the energy levels have dropped away to just about nothin’ overnight. Yesterday evening there were a few tiny little lines coming in at dusk when I went for a walk down near Long Reef. The biggest ones were struggling to get to waist high, so it wasn’t too amazing. However, I’d be very, very surprised if there was anything to surf there now. The MHL buoy is showing a metre of SSW windswell at an utterly gutless 6 seconds.

The Bureau’s call for the next couple days is for the wind to kick up as a strong low pushes into Bass Strait tomorrow. This is expected to cause strong to gale force winds over the southern and central waters. So, we can expect strong NW winds tomorrow, swinging WSW overnight into Monday. For today the wind will be WSW in the morning and then swing NW this afternoon.

So, it looks as though we’re going to have to put up with utter tininess through Monday in Sydney. However, things look quite a bit more interesting for Tuesday and Weds. The models are showing an intense low swinging across the Tasman early in the week. As it heads over to NZ, we could get some fun size swell at south-friendly spots. And it looks as though the wind shouldn’t be too bad either, particularly on Weds morning when the models are showing a combo of 10s 3 metre south swell with light SSW wind.

Have yourself a top old Saturday!

East Rpt

I can see Bondi from where I am, and it’s as flat as Narrabeen has been all week