Drizzly old start

Hello Friends,

0645: drizzle from lower skies, but little peak showing up at Dee Why.

Not the brightest morning, in fact, it was drizzly to start. Wind was light out of the SSW and there is a small east windswell pushing up a few waist high sets at beaches with good east exposure. It’s going to be full pretty much all morning thanks to a high tide at around quarter after 9.

The Bureau forecast is still for SE winds to decrease during the day. Because it’s actually SW, the surface is pretty smooth at spots like Dee Why. If the SE’r kicks up later, it won’t do any favours for the weak swell. With luck though, it won’t get smaller as the day goes along.

Looking ahead, tomorrow should see a similar pattern develop, ie SE wind easing during the day with grey skies and occasional showers. As for surf, the models are not overly encouraging. It looks as though the likelihood for Sydney is more or less the same as today because while the average height may push up a bit, the period is expected to drop a small amount as well.

The start of the new week is similarly marginal looking. Again, with any luck, there will still be a few little lumps around for the dedicated on Monday and Tuesday. The Bureau says we could have showers off and on all week, and the forecasters think we’ll see NE winds on Monday and Tuesday.

The long range outlook is kind of interesting for the end of the week because several of the models are coming up with an interpretation that says we could have some fun size NE windswell. (By “fun size”, I mean sets with faces around the head high mark.) Naturally we’ll be keeping an eye on developments.

702 ABC radio surf report by Don for 15 – 20 Nov 2008

Samoa Report for week 45 of 2008

Out front of Sa

WEEKLY   REPORTS  for    2008

Report No:   45-08

Period:           Monday 3^rd to Sunday 8^th November  

Monday. High tide 10.44am. Pebbles was 1^st stop & it was looking good with light offshore easterly wind & a clean south swell Pebs was doing its thing. The inside section had a heap of barrels, but walls enough to do turns on. With only 3 in the water, beautiful sunny day and offshore waves it was a cracker of a day. They surfed head high sets from 9am till 1.15pm.

Tuesday. High tide 11.53am. No surf trip today as all guests were leaving. But there were clean fun waves out the front sat resorts for the guides. Shoulder high, offshore and no one out so good.

Wednesday. High tide 12.53pm. With a strong south easterly blowing Pebbles was the place. Despite the conditions the inside section was really surfable. The strong offshore meant late and steep takeoffs. The wind did back off and the wave quality improved, with head high sets, and the odd bigger one, and with every 2^nd wave spitting barrels. The crew from 10.30 till 3pm

Thursday. High tide 1.41pm. No surf trip today due to the strong onshore and bad weather. There was a new south west swell but it looked ugly so they opted for a day in town. On return to the resort it had glassed right off but only Boulders may have been holding the size of the swell.

Friday.  High Tide 2.22pm. Dawn patrol straight to Boulders for the early low tide. It had dropped a touch in size but it was still solid enough for Boulders to break. Head and half high were the sets, but because of the south west swell, wave selection was important. Only really able to do 1 or 2 turns but it was really racy. They had it to themselves from 6am till 12pm so the crew were super stoked.

 A quick stop at Pebbles on the way back for a barrel fix, but the SE was up so only had a quickie.

Saturday. High tide 3.01pm. Around 3.00pm after a lazy morning Resorts had some nice peaks and it was like sheet glass. There was the odd barrel but lots of turns to be done. With lefts and rights out there everyone got a heap of fun waist to head high waves. The 3 guests and 3 staff put on a good show for the Vailima drinkers on the deck.

Sunday. High tide 3.42pm. A mid day trip to Wakas which was very wackable! Head high sets, sunny skies and no one on it they were loving life. 4 in the water for 2 hours, 2 or 3 turns a wave, then they bailed over to Special K. Thanks to the glassy conditions K was pretty sick. Only shoulder high but super lined up the natural footers loved it, able to do a few reo’s each wave. We had that for an hour and a half, then it was back for bbq night and the Vailimas again went down well.

Photos   

        Only one shot this week of out front @ Resorts just before the crew hit it on Saturday

C C

Consistent showers and warm on the Central Coast this Saturday morning.  The swell weak and left over from yesterday at 1 – 2 feet from the east northeast.  There is a light to moderate south southwest breeze forecast to strengthen later.  High tide 1015 and low tide around 1705.  Local barometer 1008 hpa, 97% humidity, 20 degrees C.  Have a good weekend.

For Saturday early risers

I’ll be along around 0730 with an update and a radio report on 702 ABC, but in the meantime, here’s my night-before guess for today’s conditions…

The Bureau says we can expect grey skies, a bit of drizzle and maybe even some thunder. Yesterday’s NE winds pushed up a little activity in semi exposed north corners, but today looks set to be smaller and weaker. Late last night the direction was around to the east and the average period of the two metre windswell was moving toward the sadly gutless 6 second mark.

Throw in a mid morning high tide, and you have a not very promising recipe. Could be a good one for a lie-in…