The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Saturday update:

And ordinary it is…

But to keep you occupied, how about this new toy on the Bureau’s website – national radar and satellite… love that stuff…

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/national_radar_sat.loop.shtml

Ordinary… small tomorrow then up for the long weekend from the South, in the upper end of the 1-2 metre range at South friendly spots, but with SW/SE wind and showers…

Saw a small seal in Manly Cove today – first time ever.

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for Friday
Mostly fine at first, just the chance of a light shower about. Showers increasing later in the day with the chance of a thunderstorm. Light to moderate south to southeast winds.
Precis: A few showers developing.
Fire danger:

City:         Min:  17 Max:  22   Parramatta: Min:  13 Max:  23

Terrey Hills: Min:  15 Max:  21   Penrith:    Min:  12 Max:  25

Liverpool:    Min:  11 Max:  23   Richmond:   Min:  11 Max:  24

UV Alert: 8:40 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Saturday Showers/rain periods.

City:          Min:   16  Max:   18

West:          Min:   12  Max:   19

Sunday A few showers.

City:          Min:   14  Max:   19

West:          Min:   10  Max:   19

Monday Shower or two.

City:          Min:   14  Max:   20

West:          Min:   11  Max:   22

Tuesday Mostly fine.

City:          Min:   14  Max:   22

West:          Min:    9  Max:   22

Wednesday Mostly fine.

City:          Min:   13  Max:   22

West:          Min:   10  Max:   22

Thursday Mostly fine.

City:          Min:   13  Max:   22

West:          Min:    8  Max:   22

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: NW/NE 15/20 knots before a S change 20/25 knots around midnight.Sea: 1 to 2 metres, rising 2 to 2.5 metres later.Swell: SE/NE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: S/SE 20/25 knots, easing to 15/20 knots during the early morning, then to SE/NE 10/15 knots.Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres, abating to 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: SE/NE 1 to 1.5 metres. Chance afternoon thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: SW/SE increasing to 20/30 knots.
Sunday: Wind: SE 15/25 knots, easing to 10/20 knots later and tending E.

DY: Getting ready for a big weekend

Looks like all the Council troops are out in force this morning, getting Dee Why ready for a big holiday weekend. Ground cleaning, tree trimming and all the usual stuff as the Beachley International Women’s surf comp gets underway. Not much on offer in the wave department today but all going according to forecast, it appears they’ll get luck on Saturday with a pulse of S swell. Unfortunately it’ll come along with some still southerly winds and probably some rain as well, all three continuing into Sunday. At least Dee Why Point should handle the conditions well enough for there to be some sizeable and rideable waves.

Sumatra quake

From the West Australian

A powerful earthquake wreaked havoc on the Indonesian island of Sumatra overnight, with officials saying it could have killed more than 1000 people as homes and buildings collapsed.

At least 75 people were confirmed dead after hospitals and hotels crumbled, and as fires raged in the coastal city of Padang, home to nearly a million people, in the wake of the 7.6-magnitude quake

.

From news.com.au

AT least 75 people have been killed and thousands are trapped, feared dead, underneath rubble after a major earthquake hit Indonesia’s Sumatra island.

Large buildings including hospitals and hotels caved in, homes fell down and fires raged in the coastal city of Padang, home to nearly a million people, as communications and power remained cut hours after the 7.6-magnitude quake.

More than 1,000 feared dead in major Indonesian quake: officials
more
Source: Agence France-Presse (AFP)

Nice sunny day…

Hello Friends,

Energy levels have dropped pretty dramatically. We’re already where I’d thought we might be tomorrow, ie short period and tiny conditions.

Down at Dee Why it looks as though the contestants will be having to eke out winning performances in very trying conditions. Wave faces appear to be in the waist high or smaller range down there – and I wouldn’t expect anywhere else to be dramatically better.

The little (0.5-1m) ESE swell is coming in at 8 seconds apart.

According to the models, the swell outlook is distinctly ordinary for the next week. The prospects that seemed okay yesterday have now faded to marginal on the models.

So it goes I guess.

Have yourself a good one and may all your plans unfold in the most satisfactory fashion.

(ps: little server issue means we can’t upload fresh pics, hope to fix it up soon).

Tides: H@0613, L@1203
Synoptic Situation
On Thursday a high will be over the Tasman to the east of Brisbane. A trough over South Australia will move eastwards, causing a southerly change to extend up the southern New South Wales coast during the day. It is expected to stall along central parts of the coast on Friday. The trough is expected to form a low over southern New South Wales on Friday, which will then move off the Mid North Coast on Saturday. The exact development and position of the low, and hence the resulting winds around the low, are uncertain at this stage.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: NW 10/15 knots inshore and 15/20 knots offshore at first, turning N 13/18 knots during the afternoon before a S’ly change 20/25 knots around midnight.Sea: 1 to 2 metres early, rising 2 to 2.5 metres later.Swell: SE/NE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: SE 13/18 knots, increasing to 18/23 knots.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: SE/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: SW/SE increasing to 20/30 knots.

C C Small and Smooth

Fine, dry and mild on the Central Coast this Thursday morning.  The swell is smooth, cute and small at 1 – 2 feet  from the east southeast.  There is a light northwest then northeast later.  High tide 0615 and low tide around 1205.  Local barometer 1007 hpa, 12 degrees C. 79% humidity.   Have a good one.

Return of the northerlies in Byron bay today.