NE’r and grey

Posted by: on February 8th, 2010


Hello Friends

Didja get waves this weekend? They were definitely around, although the quality wasn’t uniformly good. This morning the conditions are not too attractive but there is some energy left. At 0800 the NE’r was around 15 kts and the swell was looking smaller than yesterday. The Bureau says it’s around the two metre mark from the NE. Period looks to be down somewhat but the MHL data is off the air right now, so I don’t have an objective number to share. I’d guess it was about 8-9 seconds.

The models project a steady decline toward very small by the end of the week. This morning looks to be as big as it gets for as far forward as the forecasts go (Saturday).

With luck it will be relatively slow and we’ll still have energy of some sort through to around Wednesday morning. If we’re talking head high on the bombs today, it could be chest high on the biggest ones by then.

Going fearlessly into the realms of wild speculation, I note that the current run of WAM projections, show what might be another easterly fetch beginning to intensify late in the week to the NW of NZ. It was a pattern like this that lead to the current extended run of easterly swell. If it does play out in similar fashion, then we might be seeing the effects toward the middle of next week. Lotta ifs and buts lined up there, so don’t hold me to it!

I posted some pictures from Manly yesterday here and I’ll have some more to share later from Collaroy and way south Narrabeen as well. If you missed it, there are three more galleries of Curly, Northy and Dee Why here from last week as well.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 8/13 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: NE about 2 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: NE 8/13 knots.Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: E/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: NW/NE 5/15 knots becoming NE 10/20 knots later.

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