"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Peak passed, breezy to start

Hello Friends,

The morning kicked off with around 10 kts of N-NW wind and a small mainly easterly swell of about a metre at sea. Yesterday’s reasonably juicy 10 sec average period and close to two metres of ESE swell is but a memory. Average period now is back to 8 seconds – although there was still some 10 second stuff showing in the data from the MHL Sydney buoy.

Where Dee Why was concerned this morning sets were into the chest high range and quite clean for the small crowd getting amongst it.

Outlook is for the wind to gradually move around to s-sw and then to be southerly by nightfall. They’re also expected to accelerate into the 20-25 kt range and stay at about that level through to Sunday morning. The latest from the Bureau says that it’ll continue at that intensity through the day. The models show the swell lining up with the wind direction and pushing up into the two metre range. With luck there’ll be some fun size stuff at the semi-exposed south swell spots.

As of Saturday morning the wave forecast models for the week ahead are generally looking pretty marginal. The broad trend is for the swell to be mainly out of the SSE to SE over the next 5-6 days. Monday could be about like today, but then it looks likely to fade to flat by the end of the week.

Sure hope that call turns out to be unduly pessimistic.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southwesterly during the afternoon. Winds southerly 20 to 25 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres tending southerly this afternoon and evening.
Sunday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.