Sticky: About the same, maybe a touch smaller

Posted by: on October 21st, 2010

Hello Friends,

The swell’s gone a bit more to the SE in the last 24 hours, so there just might be a few more small offerings around the place this morning. We have a low tide around 1300 today, so tide’s running out all morning. According to the MHL data for Sydney, the average heights are around the one metre mark out at sea and the dominant period is about 8 seconds. This should translate into waist high plus sets at the best exposed spots.

Wind’s set to be light through the morning, but gradually picking up from the NE and getting up to a fairly typical afternoon setting of 15-20 kts.

That’s the good news.

The latest run of the models it has to be said is looking pretty bleak for waves. According to some of the predictions it will be small to flat for at least another week. There are some estimates of okay (to chest high) around Sunday. Sure hope the optimistic reckonings are the right ones!

Onward and into spring we go…

Have a top old day.

Sydney NSW marine Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast.The high will move slowly towards New Zealand during Friday and Saturday, maintaining north to northeast winds along much of the coast. On Saturday a cold front is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea bringing a southerly change along the southern half of the coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots ahead of a southerly change up to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms from midday.

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