Hello Friends,

Dear oh dear. It looks to me as though we’ve slipped another cog toward flatness this morning. I couldn’t see anyone in the water trying to catch waves at Dee Why when I checked the situation this morning. A glance at the latest data from the MHL Sydney buoy is showing we have a faint SE windswell out at sea. It’s around the metre mark, but the period is only 7 seconds.

Sadly, the charts are not a happy picture this morning either. It’s really looking like flatness or near flatness for the entire east coast right through this time next week. And the long range projections aren’t currently showing any substantial change. A couple of the riffs on the NOAA data are pointing at a little uptick at south swell spots for Sunday morning, but that’s currently about it for the hopeful indicators.

If you really want solid waves today, I’d head off to south Africa’s western region. Looks pretty impressive on the swell map at the moment

Go well with your day!

TIDES: H @0725, L @1345
Weather Situation from the BoM

A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast.The high will drift slowly towards New Zealand over the next day or two, maintaining north to northeast winds along much of the coast. On Saturday morning a gusty cold front is expected to reach the southern coast, extending to central parts by Saturday night and the far north during Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon and 20 to 25 knots late afternoon and evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly 0.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then tending northeast to northwesterly up to 25 knots by early evening. Winds tending south to southwesterly up to 30 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning then increasing to 1 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 0.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms during the morning, mainly offshore.

Hello Friends,

The swell’s gone a bit more to the SE in the last 24 hours, so there just might be a few more small offerings around the place this morning. We have a low tide around 1300 today, so tide’s running out all morning. According to the MHL data for Sydney, the average heights are around the one metre mark out at sea and the dominant period is about 8 seconds. This should translate into waist high plus sets at the best exposed spots.

Wind’s set to be light through the morning, but gradually picking up from the NE and getting up to a fairly typical afternoon setting of 15-20 kts.

That’s the good news.

The latest run of the models it has to be said is looking pretty bleak for waves. According to some of the predictions it will be small to flat for at least another week. There are some estimates of okay (to chest high) around Sunday. Sure hope the optimistic reckonings are the right ones!

Onward and into spring we go…

Have a top old day.

Sydney NSW marine Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast.The high will move slowly towards New Zealand during Friday and Saturday, maintaining north to northeast winds along much of the coast. On Saturday a cold front is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea bringing a southerly change along the southern half of the coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots ahead of a southerly change up to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms from midday.