"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Oh spring, where is thy sting?

Hello Friends,

Once again you’ll need to be extra keen to get in the water this morning. Huey’s left the swell settings pretty much where they’ve been for the last week – and where they look like remaining for the next four days, give or take a few cms. Well, maybe that’s being unduly gloomy. There could be something into the interesting size range during the afternoons at places that don’t mind the NE’r. Right now the forecast is showing such a pulse forming up for Saturday afternoon along the Sydney coast. If you don’t mind 20-25 kts of NE wind, it could be fun at the right spots.

Looking out to next week the models are showing a potentially interesting system coming across the southern ocean. At least one version of the data has one of the bigger and more intense systems than I’ve seen in quite a long time.

At this stage it looks like the energy will light up everywhere from SA to Shipsterns, but the models are currently showing the power sweeping up the eastern side of the Tasman but not really doing our coast much good. What I’m hoping is that by this time next week the models have a more hopeful view because the swell could be huge if that storm is intense as predicted.

Have yourself a top old day!

Weather Situation

A near-stationary high over the eastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to southeast Queensland. A weak trough is bringing a southerly change to the southern and central coasts this morning, however this will dissipate by the afternoon. Northerly winds will dominate for the next few days, although another southerly change may affect southern parts later on the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Southerly up to 20 knots inshore at first, otherwise north to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southeast to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Northeasterly around 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northeast to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms inshore from midday.