Hello Friends,

Grey skies, SE breeze, the odd sprinkle. Another one of those mornings boys and girls. And the swell? What can you say, it’s much as it’s been I’m afraid. The MHL Sydney buoy was showing a metre of south wind swell and Dee Why’s responding in the usual way, ie weak, junky and too small for anyone but the super keen.

The general outlook for the next week in Sydney (and indeed much of the east coast) and beyond is pretty much more of the same or, as the Goat might say, up a bit, down a bit.

If you want some size, you’d be best advised to head down to Vicco or Tas (particularly the latter where some of those protected and famously long waves could be pretty impressive). And NZ’s west coasts could be firing heavily in another 48-72 hours. But the models are, if anything, less hopeful for the east coast of Oz. A heap of energy is going to be thundering up through the Tasman, but it’ll all be over the horizon as far as we’re concerned. Bah.

Yours truly will be focused increasingly on the we love waves conference in coming days. If you haven’t quite got around to registering, now is the time!

Go well one and all.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a weak ridge to the Queensland coast, while a trough remains almost stationary over northeast New South Wales. This pattern is expected remain relatively unchanged during next few days.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Light winds tending northeast to southeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds becoming northeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: East to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming southeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Grey and cool again. That would be endurable if Huey was also supplying us something in the way of waves. But no, we have only about a metre of 7 second period south wind swell and the wind’s out of the south. Worse, it’s due to swing SE this afternoon. Talk about adding insult to injury. The Big Guy’s obviously not too cheerful at the mo’.

That’s the quick version, back in a tick with some thoughts about the current state of the forecasts…

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the Queensland coast, while a trough remains almost stationary over northeast New South Wales. This pattern is expected remain relatively unchanged during next few days.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds: South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday. Swell: Northeasterly under 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms offshore.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1 metre tending easterly from midday.

Hello Friends

Have to say that I was hoping for something a little more inspiring this morning. But the wind didn’t push too hard last night so, while it’s relatively glassy as the day gets started, the surf is mostly pretty weak and small. The wind swell is plugging along at around the 7 second mark from the NE. But it’s struggling to get much above the 1.5 metre mark out at sea. And that means even a favourably exposed stretch like Northy isn’t showing much above the waist high mark – and that’s on the bigger ones.

Looking at the latest run of the forecast models and the riffs thereon, it appears that we’re in for another week or so of these marginal conditions. We’re about to switch over to a southerly regime that will then prevail for two to three days. Said models are still projecting some very big energy in the southern ocean but it just isn’t looking good for the east coast. Instead our brothers and sisters in southern Australia and Tas are looking like getting some hefty dollops of juice as the system moves by. It’s set to poke up into the Tasman, but the WAMs reckon all the good stuff will be over on the eastern side of the ditch (ie NZ west coasts). Thursday and Friday currently look like being pretty hefty at Shipsterns, but the conditions will probably be less than optimal on the wind front.

Have yourself a top old day one and all!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to Queensland coast. A trough moving along NSW coast is likely to become slow moving in the north during next few days. During Monday another high will move southwest of Australia gradually extending a ridge to New South Wales south and central coasts while New Zealand high moves to the southeast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots around midday then tending southeasterly 10 to 20 knots by early evening. Winds tending east to southeasterly up to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots around dawn. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres around dawn. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms from the morning.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly from midday.