Sticky: Yep, pretty much still in a holding pattern

Posted by: on December 17th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Cloudy with isolated showers this morning but it should clear up a bit as the day goes along. Meanwhile, out at sea off Sydney, the MHL buoy is recording almost two metres of straight south wind swell at about 6 seconds apart. Nothing like two metres showing at the beaches from Narrabeen to Dee Why. Faces of a metre on the bombs if you’re lucky.  The good news as the Goat noted yesterday is that the water temp is going up. The latest reading shows it sitting at a positively summery 21 C offshore. The inshore temp will likely be different, but there’s no way a four degree increase in as many days can’t be a good thing!

If you’re very keen, I’d be heading to my favourite south swell magnet and waiting very patiently on my most floaty surf tool.

Tide was high at 0500, the low will be at 1130 and then on to the last high of the day at 1710.

I’m with the Goat on the outlook for this weekend. The latest run of the models is suggesting that today is probably about as good as it gets until the 21st or thereabouts when the models are still showing an interesting south bump of a day or two’s duration. As usual, as we’ve come closer to the day, the forecast models have toned down their estimates of the wave size. This morning the super computers reckon we’ll have a two to two and a bit metres of 10 sec south swell from overnight Monday into maybe Wednesday morning or even, if we’re real lucky

Go well with your day, and stay happy.

Weather Situation

A low pressure trough remains over the northern coast although weakening. A deep low to the south of Tasmania is expected to bring a westerly change to much of the coast by early Saturday, increasing on Sunday ahead of a cold front.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming light around midday then tending north to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

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