Archive for December 2010

November Favourites, In Byron Bay Today.

Posted on December 17th, 2010 in Byron.

Well folks, that’s the second last of the best of updates for 2010 all done, we love doing them it’s a lot of fun to go through our records and see what floats your boat, in Byron Bay today. November was a weird month, harsh weather but some really joyous waves were had in and around the bay. Which is kind of unusual, November tends to be small-ish north east wind swell and onshore, so looking back through the archives it’s hard not to say we scored, In Byron Bay Today.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 16th, 2010 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 December 2010: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well West/NW winds aren’t gonna give you waves in a hurry…

Friday: about 1 metre East.

Saturday: less than 1 metre Nor East,.

Sunday: less than 1 metre east.

Monday: about 1 metre East.

Tuesday: 1 metre or less South East.

Wednesday: 1 metre or less South East.

Thursday: around 1 metre East.

The good news is…

-           Looks like the cold water has gone –shot up to 21, with only a couple of small patches of cold off Sydney.

-          Santa will be coming to Avalon Beach by rubber ducky for Nippers on Sunday at 12 noon.  If you’ve got kids bring them along.

Weather from the Bureau: 

Woo hoo… the BoM has gone all user friendly and now even has little piccies of the expected weather  – hope they reproduce below… Yeah I know –other weather sites have had them for ages, but it’s good anyway

Forecast issued at 4:23 pm EDT on Thursday 16 December 2010.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary

Showers, possible storm.

Chance of any rain: 70%

Metropolitan area

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Possible isolated thunderstorms. Winds south to southeasterly averaging up to 25 km/h.

Friday 17 December

Summary

Min 19

Max 26

Shower or two clearing.

Chance of any rain: 50%

Rainfall amount: 0 to 1 mm

Metropolitan area

Cloudy. Isolated showers during the morning. Light winds tending mainly northeasterly up to 20 km/h around midday.

Fire Danger – Low to Moderate

UV Alert from 8:20 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   

Saturday 18 December

Summary

Min 20

Max 27

Partly cloudy.

Metropolitan area

Partly cloudy. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 30 km/h.

Sunday 19 December

Summary

Min 19

Max 23

Shower or two.

Metropolitan area

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers from the late morning. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 20 km/h tending north to northwesterly up to 25 km/h around midday.

Monday 20 December

Summary

Min 16

Max 23

Shower or two. Windy.

Metropolitan area

Isolated showers in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 50 km/h.

Tuesday 21 December

Summary

Min 16

Max 26

Mostly sunny.

Metropolitan area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 25 km/h tending west to southwesterly up to 20 km/h during the evening

Wednesday 22 December

Summary

Min 16

Max 24

Mostly sunny.

Metropolitan area

Mostly sunny. Winds southeast to southwesterly averaging 10 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly during the evening.

Thursday 23 December

Summary

Min 18

Max 28

Shower or two developing.

Metropolitan area

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers later in the day. Winds northwesterly averaging up to 25 km/h.


Sea Level rise impact on Sydney: SMH

Posted on December 16th, 2010 in Environment, News Stories, Top stories.

Many of today’s groms will see this happen in their lifetime..

Amplify’d from www.smh.com.au

Rising sea levels will swamp parts of Sydney

Tom Arup ENVIRONMENT CORRESPONDENT

December 16, 2010

A NUMBER of Sydney suburbs will be inundated regularly because of climate change-driven sea-level rises, threatening homes and community infrastructure worth billion of dollars by the end of the century, new projections show.

In the first detailed attempt to study the impacts of sea-level rises on low-lying coastal areas and help local government planning, the government has released high-resolution maps that show the areas in Sydney and the central coast most under threat from sea-level rises.

Sydney suburbs facing significant danger of inundation, even with limited rises, include Caringbah, Kurnell, Cromer and Manly Vale. Significant parts of Newcastle and the central coast are also potentially in harm’s way.

Read more at www.smh.com.au


Cloudy skies return and flatness creeps back

Posted on December 16th, 2010 in Dee Why, North Narrabeen.

Hello Friends,

Well, that’s disappointing. I was hoping for a small improvement this morning compared to yesterday, but alas, it seems to have dropped back again from very marginal to extremely marginal to flat. There was a tiny, tiny little peak just off the beach at Northy this morning, but people were so close to shore you’d have had no trouble conversing with them. Around at the Dee Why to No Man’s stretch, it was much the same deal. Swell at sea is less than a metre from the ESE and maybe 8 seconds apart, so the rider at Dee Why was doing well to catch the sub-knee high specimens dribbling slowly in before 0700. Tide was high at around 0400 and will hit the low about 1030 before heading back to the next high about 1615. Not that it matters much.

Despite the presence of juicy little low pressure system off to the south of Tasmania, it does not look as though we’re going to benefit in any way from it in the Sydney region. Some riffs on the model data are suggesting we may get a wee bump in size for tomorrow morning at spots that like the east wind swell that is currently on tap for us.

Looking ahead, there are however some interesting prospects (still) showing on the models for the east coast early next week. This morning’s run of the data is showing a solid south pulse developing late on the 20th and into the 21st and then persisting for 48-72 hours or so. The numbers at this stage are in the 2.5-3 metre range with a 10-12 sec power setting. The Bureau is saying we could have sunny conditions and winds out of the NW to SW for the earlies…

This projection has been sitting in the forecast data for a couple days now, so fingers crossed that Huey comes to the party with a little pre-xmas cheer…

Go well one and all!

Weather Situation

A low pressure trough is bringing a southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast today, before weakening and stalling in the north. A weak pressure pattern will see light winds return to much of the coast early Friday, before a deep low to the south of Tasmania brings a westerly change across the coast by early Saturday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots ahead of an early south to southwesterly change 15 to 25 knots, easing to 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms from the late morning.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Southerly 5 to 15 knots becoming light during the morning then tending northeast to northwesterly up to 10 knots around midday. Winds increasing to northeast to northwesterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the morning. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres during the morning then decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.


Shire Rpt

Posted on December 16th, 2010 in Surf Reports.

The waves? They gone


Stunning, In Byron Bay Today.

Posted on December 16th, 2010 in Byron.

Every now and again Huey dishes up a mind numbingly stunning kind of weather pattern, which exactly what we experienced, in Byron Bay today. And weren’t the crew just loving it. Warm crystal clear water, offshore winds, clean swell lines, and even the odd uncrowded spot for those who bothered to look beyond the obvious. The general consensus was an attitude of gratitude for such a stunning day, In Byron Bay Today.


Little waves about for the keen

Posted on December 15th, 2010 in Dee Why, North Narrabeen.

Hello Friends,

Well whadya know. There were a few small wave like things around this morning. It’s really not much different from yesterday but there were a few more people in the water at Dee Why and North Narrabeen chasing the occasional knee to waist high set. The Bureau is saying the swell ought to be coming from the east at a metre, but the MHL buoy is showing the direction as closer to SSE. The average and peak period components are both bumping along in the 7-8 second range. I.e., solidly into the wind swell range. Tide’s low at 0930 and it’ll hit the high around 1510.

We have a pretty standard summer setting on the wind forecast (light early, swing NE later and getting up to 15-20kts by this afternoon), so the average wave heights should push up toward the end of the day. With a little luck there should be at least as much tomorrow morning as there was today.

While there’s not much prospect of  a dramatic improvement in our surf prospects immediately, it shouldn’t be quite as wretchedly awful over the next three days or so.  We might have waves into the chest high range on Friday at south spots, but it looks like the wind could be with it, so I’m not hopping up and down with excitement.

However, for the first time in weeks, some of the long range models are showing a brief, but potentially juicy little pulse turning up for us early next week. One really shouldn’t be too excited about it, but it just might be worth taking a strategic position apropos the diary and therefore penciling in a gap in the schedule for Monday arvo or Tuesday morning. If the models have it right, we could pick up some straight south swell into the head high plus range. The usual caveat applies: it’s right out at the limit of the model’s prediction range and is therefore highly conditional. But gee, it’s good to see something like that in the forecast after so many weeks of micro conditions.

Weather Situation

A cold front will reach New South Wales far south coast tonight and then it will move along the central coast during Thursday and weaken. During Friday a deep low pressure system will move south of Tasmania with a weak trough developing across the central Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms this morning, mainly offshore.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms from midday, contracting inshore late in the evening.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Southerly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.


Shire Rpt

Posted on December 15th, 2010 in Surf Reports.

Clean, glassy, no wind, but still really small and weak


Water is warmer this morning…. but

Posted on December 15th, 2010 in Long Reef.

Speaking to a mate of mine who braved the 1 footers this morning, he said the the water is alot warmer than the previous week or so.  But there is no surf.  1 – 2 foot at Long Reef this morning.  Swell from the ESE.  Nothing else going on.  Surf Photos of You.


Monsoonal, In Byron Bay Today.

Posted on December 15th, 2010 in Byron.

Well that’s La Nina for you, glorious one moment and absolutely pissing down the next. We had it all, in Byron Bay today. Glorious sunshine, a nice little sneaky southerly, some twisted up yet funky and fun easterly swell and torrential rain just to cap it all off in the bay. No doubt about, it’s looking very much like we may be in for a bit of monsoonal kind of summer, In Byron Bay Today.


 
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