Hello Friends,

Not much happening down at Dee Why beach. The tide was high for the early risers and the metre and a bit of 7sec east wind swell was frothing lightly in. Sets would be struggling to get much above the waist high mark on the big ones. The small numbers in the water at Dee Why tell the tale I’d say. An unusual level of commitment is required.

The latest forecast is calling for a small Thursday but from tomorrow the trend is upward as we head toward a modest bump upward in energy levels for the weekend. If the prediction pans out, we’ll get a south east swell, ne wind combo that should potentially be fun at numerous spots in the Sydney region. Here’s hoping!

Apropos the very long range outlook, I’m still liking the look of the forecasts for mid next week. They continue to show a reasonably broad area of fetch around a low off to the NE of NZ. If anything develops, I’d expect it’ll be toward the end of next week before anything gets down our way. All highly speculative at this point of course, but fun to imagine the possibilities.

Go well with your day!

Tides: H @0915, L @1600

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast. The high will move rapidly to the southeast today, although the ridge to the north will be maintained. A cold front will pass to the south during Friday and Saturday, bringing a southerly change to southern parts of the coast before the next drifts across from the west.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: East to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing below 10 knots during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

What a grey old summer it’s been. More rain overnight, more cloudy skies this morning and only a trickle of weak south wind swell. It’s definitely not flat, but anything above the waist to chest high zone is a rare event where Dee Why was concerned early.

The outlook is for the onshore to pick up as the day goes along but the swell’s set to stay around the same size. Certainly there’s nothing obvious in the way of improvement to size being hinted at by the buoy data or being predicted by the latest run of the models.

From the shape of the aforementioned forecasts, it would seem that the next couple days are likely to be fairly ho-hum. Some interpretations of the data reckon we might see a bit of a s-sse pulse develop as we run into the weekend. If they prove correct, there could be 10sec + metre to metre plus energy at south swell spots. Friday arvo could be fun if the swell does arrive because the wind call is NE.

Looking out much further into the middle of next week, the models are showing Huey stirring the pot out to the ENE of NZ. As usual, I don’t get too excited at this early stage, but I like the shape of the fetch being predicted by the super computers. If it happens, I’d say there’s a good chance of substantial and sustained east swell for northern NSW and Qld. The fetch will need to tilt a bit more to the south west to fire juice our way though.

Anyway, all good fun.

Thanks again to all who’ve participated in the anonymous post code survey. We’re inching toward what I hope will be a statistically significant set of numbers. I hope that will be useful to us when we go hunting for advertising income to keep this joint afloat.

Have yourself a top old day!

Tides: H @0830, L @1515

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving towards Tasmania extending a ridge to New South Wales south and central coasts. The high will move rapidly to the southeast during Wednesday and Thursday maintaining the ridge to the north coast.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: Easterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly late this evening. Isolated thunderstorms from midday.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Easterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.