Bit of a perk evident

Posted by: on February 16th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Another la nina morning in Sydney, ie grey skies and 90% chance of a shower. As foretold by the models, the swell has bumped up a bit and as Wednesday got started it was a couple metres at sea from the SE with an average period of around 8 seconds. I needed to wait awhile to get this morning’s snap of Dee Why point because the set waves were pretty few and far between. It looks to me like one of those mornings when you hang around for one to two wave sets. Still, at least there’s a little something going on.

It was glassy for the early, but the tide was right on high when I checked it out for the first time. The Bureau says the wind will work around to the NE later and get into the 15-20 kt range. Look to the north corners…

The swell should stick around at more or less the current energy levels this morning before maybe fading a touch toward dark. The good news is that it shouldn’t drop into the realms of utter hopelessness across the next few days. As well, the long range models this morning are showing a reasonably intense system coming around Tasmania and pushing up the east coast early next week. At this stage it looks like maybe slinging us some windy, short period but potentially interesting size swell Tue-Wed. However, as we model watchers know, these forecasts have a way of fading in the straight, so I’m not whooping about it just yet.

Have yourself a great day!

TIDES: H @0720, L @1400

Weather Situation

A high east of Tasmania is moving slowly east, extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast. The approach of a cold front from the Southern Ocean is likely to bring a southerly change to much of the coast on Thursday through Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly up to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 2 metres.
Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms until evening.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending northwest to southwesterly up to 15 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 to 2 metres.

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