Now that’s interesting. We got a little pulse mid afternoon and as of 5pm it’s averaging around the 2 metre mark from the south with an average period of 10 seconds. That’s up from 8 seconds this morning. And, there is some crazy long period stuff in the mix apparently. The MHL buoy showed a peak 16sec! There was quite a crew on it at Dee Why, despite the fairly junky SSE wind crunched conditions. I saw one person pick up a right at a spot out off the beach roughly in linel with the point and they went all the way to shore. Impressive. Judging from the crowd, he wasn’t Robinson Crusoe either. Biggest set I saw had a maximum wave face of better than two metres. Hmmmm.

Tomorrow morning’s low tide is around 0700 and the Bureau seems to think the swell will still be around the same size as now. Not sure about that because it’s dropped down south at Bateman’s Bay. Wind call for the morning is s-se 10-15kts, so with luck it won’t be too beat up for the early risers.

Catchya tomorrow!

Hello Friends,

A bit more swell than the Bureau was anticipating even a day ago. Unfortunately there’s 15-20kts of southerly in on top of it, so even the relatively protected Dee Why is pretty messy looking. The swell is a couple metres out at sea and wave faces look to be in the waist to shoulder high range in the beachie, but smaller out at the point.

From the shape of this morning’s forecast from the Bureau and the guesstimations of the wave models, it looks as though we’re headed toward a peak in the swell energy sometime late tomorrow. But it should last at about the current size until Thursday afternoon before we look like sliding into another lull.

The latest wind forecast says we’re in for S-SE today and tomorrow, so my guess is that the quality will be pretty so-so at most places. The wind’s due to fade back on Thursday and swing more around to the east and NE so maybe we’ll get lucky in the north corners before the energy subsides.

Have yourself a great day!

TIDES: L @0610, H @1210

Weather Situation
A high south of the Bight extends a ridge along the NSW coast. It is slow-moving and will remain west of Tasmania until about Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 2 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southerly up to 10 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 2 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore .

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: South to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southeasterly during the afternoon then tending northeasterly up to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

Dripping grey start to Monday along the coast this morning. The southerly has rolled in and as of 0700 was pushing along at 15-20kts while the MHL buoy was reporting a couple metres of 7 second south windswell. However, there’s some 11 second stuff in the mix as well.

However, those numbers are not translating into anything of interest at either Curly or the Dee Why to Longy stretch. I saw only one person in the water (see picture) and he was doing a lot of paddling for not much. Conditions are quite messy and despite being 2 metres out at sea, the biggest set wave face I saw would have been struggling to be half that size.

Not a day to rush off to the beach.

This morning’s run of the forecast models shows another 24 hours of messy smallness, followed by 2-3 days of southerly swell. The forecasts have really been bouncing around, but as of this morning the best conditions look as though they may occur late Weds into early Thursday as a longish period south pulse fills in.

We shall see…

Have yourself a top old day and get up to some good where you can!

TIDES: H @1120, L @1730

Weather Situation
A vigorous cold front is expected to extend to the far north coast by Monday afternoon. A high south of the Bight in the wake of the front is expected to be slow-moving and remain west of Tasmania for most of the coming week maintaining southeast to southwest winds on most of the coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

Only a trickle of east swell to work with this morning. Throw in nearly 2 metres of tide at around 1030, and the look is very fat and full. But it isn’t totally flat, so if you are extra keen – or if you just need any excuse to cool off (it was 30 at 0900 on Collaroy Plateau), there’s reason enough to get in. There’s no obvious sign of a likely change in swell energy levels for today, so I’d guess that this afternoon will probably not be much good anywhere.

Monday doesn’t look particularly interesting at this point, indeed if the models have it right, it’ll be smaller than today. The pulse we model watchers were hoping for midweek is fading away from the forecasts. This morning’s computer dreaming is showing a peak in size on Tuesday. That matches up with the Bureau’s current call for brisk SE wind all day. Blergh.

Here’s hoping those models are being unduly pessimistic…

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Winds are set to remain light this morning, but then to swing SE around lunchtime.

TIDES: H @1030, L @1550

Weather Situation
A high near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, and to the south of Tasmania while a broad low pressure trough lies over the west of the state with a low southeast of Tasmania. The trough will move eastwards today with the low likely to move further southeast followed by a vigorous cold front expected to arrive on the South Coast later on Sunday and to extend to the far north coast by Monday afternoon.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southwesterly and light during the morning then tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots around midday. Winds tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots around dawn. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres around dawn. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 2 metres in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.