1400: wind dropping, swell south at two metres with an average period of 12 seconds. I might go have another look in that case…

Hello Friends,

A number of folk in the water at Dee Why before 0700 this morning to chase the waist to chest high SSE swell. According to the MHL buoy it’s around the two metre mark at about 8 seconds apart. For close to a week the swell prediction has been calling for this uptick, but it had also been showing a longer period. So I had a look at the MHL buoy from down at Eden and sure enough, a long period pulse arrived around midday. It’s still showing and it’s around the 14 second mark. And when I jumped back to check the MHL Sydney buoy, whadya know, it just hit in the last hour or so. All of which suggests to me that there is at least the chance of the odd rogue set turning up in the mix today.

There wasn’t much in the way of wind to start, but it should go south during the morning and swing more onshore later. The Bureau says there’s a 40% chance of rain too.

BTW, I have a couple pairs of tix to give away to the surf movies at the Diggers on Friday and at Palmy RSL on Saturday evening. Use the feedback link top right of our main page to let me know if you’re interested. I’ll need your name, your guest’s name and a contact mobile to confirm back.

Have a good one!

Tide is high at 1245 or so and the next low will be along t 1900.

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system will move to the east of Tasmania today maintaining a ridge northwards along the New South Wales coast. The high is forecast to move over New Zealand by Friday. The next cold front is expected to approach from the southwest, .and is expected to bring the next southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly 1 metre tending easterly during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Rather small at Dee Why centre when I grabbed the snap this morning a little after 0730. There were two folk bobbing about in the low and glassy SSE swell. Out at sea it’s around the metre mark at about 8 seconds apart, so there isn’t much prospect of anything bigger coming in for awhile yet.

The wind is set to pick up later and by this evening we should see 15-20 kts of southerly across Sydney’s beaches. So I wouldn’t be expecting much in the way of an improvement to surf prospects today.

Wednesday should see a small uptick in energy levels as a long period south pulse briefly brushes past Sydney. It looks like the best hope will be for the early in the south corners as we’re set to have 15-20 kts of S-SE wind and the swell pulse could drop away pretty quickly if the models have it right. Tide will be low but coming in, so that could be helpful.

Thursday and Friday look like marking points along a declining graph that’s heading toward flatness for Friday

Couple other things to mention, first if you’d like to check out Tim Bonython’s 2011 Australian Surf Movie Festival I have a few pairs of tix to give away for the Friday Harbord Diggers show the 11th at 8pm and Saturday the 12th at 8pm at Palm Beach RSL. Tim says the live music for both nights will be provided by Juzzie Smith.

To be in with a chance, all you have to do is contact me via the link top right of our home page and tell me 1) your name 2) your second person’s name 3) your mobile number so I can confirm back.

On another front, if you look over at the right of the page, you’ll see I’m putting a 140×600 tower ad position up for auction. The winner’s ad will run continuously for 30 days on our home page. Bidding starts at a paltry $99 (about a 1/20th of what it would cost ordinarily). Just click on the ad, or go here, and you can register a bid. The auction closes next Monday night.

Have yourself a top old day!

Tides: H @1210, L @1820

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system south of the Bight is moving slowly east, while a ridge extends north along the New South Wales coast. The high is forecast to reach the Tasman Sea during Wednesday before slipping away towards New Zealand later in the week. At the same time, the next cold front is expected to approach from the southwest, and is likely to affect southern and central parts of the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening. Swell: Southerly 1 to 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

The irrepressible surf movie impresario Mr Tim Bonython has generously offered us 3 pair of tix to give away for tonight’s show at North Bondi RSL at 8 PM.

It’s a case of first in, best dressed, so the first people to drop me a request via our feedback form, are best dressed and in the door.

Please give me the names of both people who will be attending and if you have one, a mobile number I can confirm back to.

Tim says these people will be doing the live music http://www.myspace.com/thesnifferdogs

And here’s his page all about the Australian Surf Movie Festival

Coming up: another couple ticket giveaways for Harbord Diggers on Friday and Palmy on Saturday…

Hello Friends,

Swell is dead south after yesterday’s change, and as the day got started it was coming down from hitting a peak of 4 metres at 10 sec during the dark hours. At 0700 it was still chuffing along at 3 metres and close to 10 sec. That’s more vigorous than the models had originally projected but the reality is nothing like you’d expect from the numbers. Although it was lightly offshore this morning, there weren’t too many people in the water at Dee Why. The problem was that the swell wasn’t really working and even the biggest sets were struggling to deliver head high wave faces. And mostly it was much smaller than that. Every now and then a catchable one hit the point, but you needed a SUP or a mal to have much of a shot.

Went up to North Narrabeen to get another fix on the swell and discovered three or four extra keen types (in wetties because of the cool air temps) trying to extract something from what was really a chaotic situation. Like Dee Why it wasn’t all that big in the corner (it was a bit more solid at carparks, but unsurfable), and worse, waves would pop up and then double or cancel out as earlier waves bounced back into the oncoming swell.

A bit of a disappointment one would have to say.

Outlook is for the downward trend to continue through the day as the swell fizzles out to near flatness for tomorrow morning. However, according to the models, this should just be a brief lull as a new long period south pulse fills in. The pulse looks like peaking during the night hours but it should still be around on Wednesday morning.

Here’s hoping…

Go well with your day!

TIDES: H @1130 L @1750

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system is moving towards Tasmania extending a ridge to New South Wales north coast. The high will move over the southern Tasman Sea by Wednesday and then it will move slowly towards New Zealand during Thursday and Friday maintaining the ridge to the north coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening. Swell: Southerly 0.5 to 2 metres.