Hello Friends,

The primary swell direction swung abruptly just before daybreak and as I write this, it’s now out of the south at a couple metres. But don’t get too excited, the period is just 6 seconds and you may have noticed that we have a bit of wind as well. It’s out of the SSE at 20-25kts as the day starts, but the forecast is for it to back off during the day to around 15-20kts.  Putting those two things together, it looks to me as though we’re pretty much out of luck for surfing today. Maybe tomorrow, if the Bureau is right about the swell, we’ll get a small south pulse during the day that may possibly give us a little something in the northern corners for the afternoon.

Have yourself a terrific Thursday!

TIDES: H @0710, L @1330

Weather Situation

A southerly change will extend to the far north coast by late Thursday. A cold front will move across the southern Tasman Sea on Friday freshening southerly winds on the south and central coasts Saturday. Behind the front a strong high pressure system will move south of he Bight and then it is expected to become semi-stationary by Saturday slowly extending a ridge to the far north coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: 2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 2 metres this afternoon and evening. The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the afternoon then tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Winds tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southwesterly up to 30 knots during the morning then tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms until late afternoon.

Hello Friends,

Sydneysiders woke to sunny blue skies this morning and, if you were near a beach with a little east exposure, some small waves. Dee Why’s showing some small waist high sets as the day kicks off. I watched for awhile to see if I could spot any of the 13 second stuff showing on the revived MHL Sydney buoy data, but nothing obvious turned up. The forecast calls for sunny and light winds, so even if there’s a bit of a wait between sets, at least the rest of the settings should be good. According to the models, the energy level will fade today, so the plan is to get out there now and see what you can find.

Outlook is for the energy levels to bounce around through the weekend. It looks like we’ll have some pretty small patches, but I’m hoping it won’t quite get to abject flatness. Early next week is showing some prospects according to the models. If they have it right, we could possibly see a solid south pulse early next week. However at this stage it looks as though there will be heaps of southerly with it, so if it happens the way the models project, it could be one of those big but stormy swells that isn’t much good for surfing.

Have yourself a good one!

TIDES: L @1300 H @1905

Weather Situation

A cold front will bring southerly change to New South Wales south coast this afternoon extending to the central coast overnight and to the far north coast Thursday afternoon. Another cold front will move across the southern Tasman Sea on Friday freshening southerly winds on the south and central coasts. Behind the front a strong high pressure system will move south of he Bight and then it is expected to become semi-stationary by Saturday slowly extending a ridge to the far north coast.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots around midday then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms this morning and afternoon. The chance of thunderstorms late this evening.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: South to southwesterly 20 knots to 30 knots, tending southerly around dawn then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning. Winds decreasing to southerly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around dawn then decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 2 metres in the afternoon and evening. Isolated thunderstorms during the morning.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northeast to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Hello Friends,

As promised by the Bureau, we again have a grey start to the day. There are some small and inconsistent waves about though and as we got rolling, the breeze was too weak to ruffle the surface at Dee Why. It should be out of the NE before long though and the forecast is that it’ll get up to 10-15 kts. The only people I saw in the water at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning were a little crew chasing briefly catchable waist high lumps at suck-up. Other than that there didn’t seem to be much of anything going on.

The MHL buoys for Sydney, Pt Kembla and Eden are all offline, so the nearest operating buoys to Sydney are at Batemans Bay – which is showing a metre of 10 sec NE swell – and Crowdy Head which is reporting a couple metres of 8 second windswell.

The wave forecast models show energy levels bouncing around a bit, but they do seem to be in broad agreement that tomorrow will see a small boost in swell at spots that like E to NE as a longish period pulse arrives. If they have it right, the pulse should last through Wednesday (currently looking the day for this week). The Bureau says Thursday will see the arrival of a messy south change. And, looking way ahead, there is the possibility of a very big south pulse early next week. That’s right out at the limits of the models, so we can’t bank on it.

Have yourself a great Tuesday!

TIDES: L @1215, H @1820

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is slowly moving east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front will bring southerly change to the south and central coasts Wednesday afternoon or evening, extending to the far north coast overnight. Another high pressure system is expected to move south of the Bight during Thursday extending a ridge behind the front.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then increasing to 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: Southwesterly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, tending southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Winds decreasing to southerly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Only two or three people in the water for Monday morning’s modest surf offerings at Dee Why. Swell has continued to decrease, but it’s only down a bit from where we left things yesterday. Every now and then a little chest high set wave turns up. But the waits are longish and it looks as though the average period is bumping around the 8 second mark. MHL’s Sydney buoy has been off the air since early yesterday, so I can’t give you the objective numbers. Based on what the other stations are showing, I’d say the average height at sea is likely to be a touch under the two metre mark.

Outlook according to this morning’s run of the wave forecast models is for it to gradually weaken through the day and for a NE’r to come up this afternoon. Tomorrow there seems to be a prospect of very small easterly swell, but Wednesday looks a bit more hopeful as a longish period east pulse arrives for a day or so.

Have yourself a great Monday!

TIDES: L @1120, H @1730

Weather Situation

A high centred east of Bass Strait with a ridge of high pressure extending to the central part of the NSW coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: Easterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots during the morning then increasing to up to 15 knots around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northerly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.