"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The grey morning syndrome again

Hello Friends,

As promised by the Bureau, we again have a grey start to the day. There are some small and inconsistent waves about though and as we got rolling, the breeze was too weak to ruffle the surface at Dee Why. It should be out of the NE before long though and the forecast is that it’ll get up to 10-15 kts. The only people I saw in the water at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning were a little crew chasing briefly catchable waist high lumps at suck-up. Other than that there didn’t seem to be much of anything going on.

The MHL buoys for Sydney, Pt Kembla and Eden are all offline, so the nearest operating buoys to Sydney are at Batemans Bay – which is showing a metre of 10 sec NE swell – and Crowdy Head which is reporting a couple metres of 8 second windswell.

The wave forecast models show energy levels bouncing around a bit, but they do seem to be in broad agreement that tomorrow will see a small boost in swell at spots that like E to NE as a longish period pulse arrives. If they have it right, the pulse should last through Wednesday (currently looking the day for this week). The Bureau says Thursday will see the arrival of a messy south change. And, looking way ahead, there is the possibility of a very big south pulse early next week. That’s right out at the limits of the models, so we can’t bank on it.

Have yourself a great Tuesday!

TIDES: L @1215, H @1820

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is slowly moving east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front will bring southerly change to the south and central coasts Wednesday afternoon or evening, extending to the far north coast overnight. Another high pressure system is expected to move south of the Bight during Thursday extending a ridge behind the front.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then increasing to 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: Southwesterly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, tending southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Winds decreasing to southerly 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres during the evening.