Hello Friends,

That big old high over the Tasman just doesn’t want to go anywhere and it’s not helping the surf situation at all. While the size of the NE swell at sea is still around the 1.5 metre mark, the average period is a weak 7 seconds. Admittedly Dee Why isn’t the ideal indicator for NE windswell, so there may be slightly more energy at NE magnets, but I reckon it’ll be struggling to make waist high for the most part. Certainly there wasn’t anything above that level when I checked at about 0900. Huey’s expected to dial the wind up to 15-20 kts later this afternoon, so that might bump the energy levels up a touch.

A S-SW change is expected tomorrow and as a consequence we may see a small improvement to the surf prospects. But I’m not seeing anything dramatic on this run of the models for tomorrow. They are showing a big system forming in the southern ocean in about five days. The forecasts show the main energy staying largely clear of the east coast, but by the weekend the situation could possibly change and we might have some smallish but long period swell pushing in by Sunday.

Have a good one!

TIDES: L @0930, H @1520

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales far north coast. A cold front will bring a southerly change to the south and central coasts during Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly up to 10 knots around dawn then tending northwest to southwesterly up to 20 knots during the morning. Winds tending south to southwesterly up to 25 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 10 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms offshore from the morning.

 

Hello Friends,

Grey skies yet again, but it was glassy along the northern beaches and a small NE windswell was producing the odd waist high set at the exposed spots. The buoy data shows that the average size at sea is around the 1.5 metre mark and the period is at about 8 seconds. The wind wasn’t a factor for the early risers, but it is set to bump up into the 10-15 kt range by this afternoon.

Given the swell direction, there should be at least a little something around the place through the day. As that wind gets going, the clean options will move up toward the north ends. And who knows, maybe the extra energy will make the average sets a bit bigger too.

Tomorrow the wind is going to be around to the north in the morning and then back to the NE later in the day. The swell should stagger along at levels similar to today’s.

In fact, looking at the week ahead, this morning’s run of the forecast models isn’t deviating too significantly from The Goat’s forecast – ie, marginal but not utterly flat.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

TIDES: L @0820, H @1410

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to New South Wales far north coast. A cold front is expected to bring southerly change to the south and central coasts on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Inshore:

Winds: Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms in the late afternoon.

Offshore:

Winds: Northeast to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly up to 10 knots around midday then tending northeasterly 10 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots decreasing to 15 knots during the morning then tending south to southwesterly up to 25 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southeasterly up to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms from the morning.