Hello Friends,

Nice to see a bit of sunshine this morning along the Northern Beaches. Interestingly the wind was out of the north at about 10-15 kts along the beaches (judging from the white horses out at sea, it’s stronger offshore). The winds are due to swing westerly later as the skies clear.

According to the latest MHL data for Sydney, the swell is coming in from the NE at about 9 seconds apart. It’s near the 3 metre mark on average out where the buoy’s anchored, but wave faces at Dee Why looked to typically be around the chest high mark.

The Bureau’s swell modelling calls for the average size to drop a little as the day goes along, but it’s not shaping up to drop into the unsurfable range.

As of 0715 the surface conditions were kinda choppy and disorganised looking at Dee Why, but maybe as the wind comes around more to the west, we’ll start getting some interesting surf options at spots that like NE windswell. I’ll definitely be keeping an eye on it.

Tide’s high at 1050 and back to low at about 1650.

I won’t pre-empt the Goat, but it looks as though messy bigness is in our future…

Have yourself a top old Thursday!

Weather Situation
An active cold front will clear the coastal parts of the state Thursday morning. Strong to gale force northerly winds over most coastal waters will turn westerly and ease with the passage of the front. A complex low pressure system is likely to form over the western Tasman Sea Friday as an upper level trough moves across NSW. Although its forecast position is uncertain, strong to gale force winds are expected are along parts of the NSW coast later Friday and over the weekend, most likely for the central part of the coast initially then contracting further north. Southeasterly swell is also likely to increase over the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending westerly 15 to 20 knots later in the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres tending northeasterly about 2 metres from the late morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Friday 19 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly around midday then tending south to southeasterly 25 to 35 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Saturday 20 August
Winds
Southeasterly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres.

Hello Friends,

Not much wind around as the morning got started. Swell settings are pretty similar to yesterday afternoon, which is to say the main energy is out of the SE at 2 metres with an average period of 12 seconds. Ordinarily those numbers should add up to some juicy and sizable swell, but weirdly (while I watched anyway) about the biggest thing I saw hit Dee Why was maybe into the head high range. That’s a good thing, but the waves didn’t look that juicy to me and the fact that there were only a few people in the water suggests to me that it’s not looking too attractive.

I’d go check my favourite SE spot this morning if I had the time because there really should be something going on. The wind is set to ramp up from the NE as the day goes along and rain is on the way too. So north corners will probably be the go. Oh and the swell prediction models say that the swell should pick up in coming hours.

The models are projecting better conditions tomorrow as the swell moves more easterly and the wind comes around to the NW. Friday currently looks like not much, but then late in the afternoon we’re set to move into a prolonged period of strong southerly winds, showers and biggish but messy south swell. Looks to me as though we’ll have some size but that it’ll pretty hard to find much in the way of surfable conditions right through the weekend. Be interesting to see the Goat’s take on this…

Have yourself a top old Wednesday and keep on smilin’!

TIDES: H @1015, L @1610

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a weakening ridge into eastern New South Wales. An active cold front is forecast to cross much of the state during Wednesday, reaching the coast early Thursday. A low is then likely to form over the western Tasman Sea as an upper level trough moves across the region, although its precise position is currently uncertain.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then increasing to 20 to 30 knots around midday.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Thursday 18 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to northwesterly around dawn then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around dawn.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the late morning, contracting offshore and clearing by early evening.
Friday 19 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending southerly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Winds increasing to southerly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly during the evening.