Not much, but not flat

Posted by: on September 24th, 2011

Hello Friends,

It looks as though a brief south pulse that showed up on Batemans Bay buoy late yesterday has now arrived in Sydney. And from the look of the data, I don’t think it will last long.

There were distinct little waist high sets showing before 0700 at Dee Why, but surface conditions were pretty messy thanks to the ESE breeze and the grey skies gave it a gloomy look. The MHL data for Sydney shows the swell was dead south at about two metres with an average period nudging toward the 9 second mark.

The showery, small and junky SE conditions are set to last through to about Tuesday morning, so you’ll need to muster all your keeness to find a reason to jump in the water this weekend.

As the Bureau’s summary notes, there is some uncertainty about how the coming week will play out surfwise. Some of the wave prediction models are predicting a bit of activity Mon-Tues, but the wind settings may not be ideal. If I had to pick a day from here, I’d be punting on Tuesday morning…

Go well one and all!

TIDES: L @1100 H @1725

Weather Situation
A high is over the eastern Bight and is expected to be located over Bass Strait on Sunday , after which it will move towards New Zealand. An upper trough is also over the eastern Bight and will move over New South Wales on Saturday. When the trough moves over the Tasman on Sunday, a low and trough are likely to develop along the NSW coast, probably about central to northern parts of the coast, bringing a deepening onshore flow over the coast with strengthening winds likely about central parts of the coast. The precise location and timing of the strong winds will depend on the exact location of the low, which at this stage is still uncertain.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.
Sunday 25 September
Winds
Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending southwest to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around dawn.
Swell
Southeast to easterly about 1.5 metres
Monday 26 September
Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.

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