Hello Friends,

It’s been raining steadily on my little bit of the northern beaches so I haven’t been outside to see what the waves look like. Judging from the WRL cam at Collaroy, the SSE wind isn’t too much of a factor, but the shortish period east swell isn’t much either. The MHL buoy is showing average heights are around the 3 metre mark and average period’s a little over 7 seconds.

A great afternoon to be warm and dry inside.

Tomorrow looks to be more of the same, ie SE wind and small windswelly waves in the protected corners with a morning shower or two.

The models are still saying Tuesday morning will be the best shot this week. It should be sunny again, wind out to be light for the early. Tuesday’s first high tide is big one at around 0730, so I reckon a gentleman’s hour start will work pretty nicely. Swell is expected to be mainly east at around the two metre mark, so there should be any number of reasonable options on offer.

Have yourself a good one!

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds

Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots

Seas

2 to 3metres.

Swell

Southerly about 1 metre tending easterly about 2 metres during the evening.

Monday 26 September

Winds

Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds becoming easterly up to 10 knots later in the evening.

Seas

1.5 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday.

Swell

Easterly 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

It looks as though a brief south pulse that showed up on Batemans Bay buoy late yesterday has now arrived in Sydney. And from the look of the data, I don’t think it will last long.

There were distinct little waist high sets showing before 0700 at Dee Why, but surface conditions were pretty messy thanks to the ESE breeze and the grey skies gave it a gloomy look. The MHL data for Sydney shows the swell was dead south at about two metres with an average period nudging toward the 9 second mark.

The showery, small and junky SE conditions are set to last through to about Tuesday morning, so you’ll need to muster all your keeness to find a reason to jump in the water this weekend.

As the Bureau’s summary notes, there is some uncertainty about how the coming week will play out surfwise. Some of the wave prediction models are predicting a bit of activity Mon-Tues, but the wind settings may not be ideal. If I had to pick a day from here, I’d be punting on Tuesday morning…

Go well one and all!

TIDES: L @1100 H @1725

Weather Situation
A high is over the eastern Bight and is expected to be located over Bass Strait on Sunday , after which it will move towards New Zealand. An upper trough is also over the eastern Bight and will move over New South Wales on Saturday. When the trough moves over the Tasman on Sunday, a low and trough are likely to develop along the NSW coast, probably about central to northern parts of the coast, bringing a deepening onshore flow over the coast with strengthening winds likely about central parts of the coast. The precise location and timing of the strong winds will depend on the exact location of the low, which at this stage is still uncertain.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.
Sunday 25 September
Winds
Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending southwest to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around dawn.
Swell
Southeast to easterly about 1.5 metres
Monday 26 September
Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Nothin’ going on at Dee Why this morning. A couple of folks on SUPs were noodling around on the lake-like conditions. It’s already warm and the Bureau says as we head toward the predicted 29 high, the wind will push up from the north ahead of a late south change. From the look of the modelling this morning, that change doesn’t seem likely to pack much if any punch. The Goat made his weekly call of the conditions yesterday and as usual his prognostications line up well with the latest run of super computer powered projections.

Despite the tininess in Dee Why, our man in Manly’s observations indicate that a bit of poking around might yield an opportunity or two for the extra keen…

A head’s up to all you fine folk who need to get your message out to surfers: I’ve just set up auctions for most of our October ad slots. These are all 24/7 occupancies (ie only your ad runs in the position). Last month’s bidders picked up some amazingly cheap space. Check  outthe October ad auctions here!

Have yourself a great day one and all.

Tides: L @1000, H @1630

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.