Hello Friends,

Another smoky, hazy and tiny morning along the northern beaches.  The little 1 metre NE windswell is sputtering along at about 7 seconds apart, so it’s pretty unlikely that you’ll find much above the knee to waist high range. Wind is set to pick up and swing offshore, so I’d expect that to further diminish our surf prospects.

There is some hope that we might see a small south pulse tomorrow. If it gets into the waist to chest high range at exposed spots, I’d be very stoked because this morning’s wind forecast is for offshores (briefly) around lunchtime on Wednesday.

Long range outlook according to this morning’s WAM data remains pretty dire it has to be said.  There seems to be some hope of a slight improvement early next week, so here’s hoping…

Have yourself a top old Tuesday!

TIDES: L @0640, H @1315

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds

Northerly increasing 20 to 30 knots during the morning then tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.

Seas

Up to 3 metres.

Swell

Easterly about 1 metre.

Weather

Isolated thunderstorms offshore during this afternoon.

Wednesday 21 September

Winds

South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times, decreasing to 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending west to southwesterly up to 15 knots during the morning. Winds becoming westerly up to 10 knots around midday then tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon then tending east to southeasterly by early evening.

Seas

Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning.

Swell

Northerly 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres from the morning.

Hello Friends,

A tiny south windswell was trying to make an impression this morning at Dee Why, but when I scoped it at 0700 there didn’t seem to be anyone in the water. Odd given the sunny skies and light breezes. The Bureau says the NE’r will gradually become a significant factor, so if surfing is on your mind, I’d get to the beach asap with your floatiest implement of fun. There might possibly be a little something at semi-exposed north ends (eg Queensie, North Curly, Northy, etc) once the wind really gets going.

Still nothing much showing on the swell forecast models or their numerous interpretations. The southern ocean is active enough, but the continental highs seem to be deflecting storms away from the east coast’s swell window in typical spring fashion.

There looks to be a slight hope of a bump into the waist high range around Wednesday, and again maybe late in the weekend. But I’m not seeing anything terribly compelling in the forecasts this morning. So, if you have a busy week ahead, you won’t be missing much at the beach.

Ah well, we know the big guy will be back one day, so keep on smilin’ and stay happy!

TIDES:  L @0540, H @1220

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds

East to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 20 knots around midday then increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 2 to 3 metres later.

Swell

Southerly about 1.5 metres decreasing to 0.5 metres.

Tuesday 20 September

Winds

Northerly 20 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon, reaching 30 knots at times.

Seas

1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.

Swell

Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending northeasterly about 1 metre from the late morning.

Hello Friends,

Only a very small and weak windswell at Dee Why this morning. A few bods were flopping about in the cool water as the day got started, but they really weren’t catching much of anything. The average height of the SSE swell at sea is about a metre, but they’re only about 8 seconds apart, so even the set waves are struggling to get much above knee high.  Wind is currently out of the NW, but the forecast is calling for a south change by lunchtime. At that point the wind will go around to the SE and the average wave height should pick up a bit – but of course it’ll be very junky. Just to help things along, the tide will be high when the change rolls in.

Outlook for the coming week remains for flat to marginal conditions through the period. Some of the models are showing a slight perk toward Friday/Saturday, but at this stage it’s not looking like delivering much more than waist to chest high and choppy conditions. Much can change in a week, so here’s hoping those swell forecast models are unduly pessimistic.

Have yourself a top old Sunday and if you’re near the wireless in Sydney at a little after 1000, check out the ABC 702 weekend show because Dr. Rip and I will be having a chat about beachy topics with Simon Marnie. Here’s a link to 702 ABC’s streaming audio.

TIDES: L @0500, H @1130