Sticky: It’s a mighty unmighty morning

Posted by: on October 10th, 2011

 

 

Hello Friends,

Looked at both the Collaroy-Narrabeen and Long Reef-Dee Why stretches this morning. Tide was pretty full, but the real problem was the puny south swell. It’s around the metre mark out at sea and the average period is a paltry 7 seconds. The consequence is an entirely predictable near flat ocean.

There is a chance of a slight improvement later today as the tide drops and, if we’re lucky, a weak south pulse reaches the Sydney region. The pulse was about a 2m at Eden yesterday evening and closer to 3m at Batemans Bay in the early morning hours. Assuming it gets to us, I’d say a check around lunch time might be a plan. The wind is not a factor now, but by then the Bureau says it will be out of the easterly quarters as it moves around to the NE.

From the shape of this morning’s forecast models, tomorrow isn’t looking flash, but there might be a little something from the south on Wednesday.

Beyond that it looks like small, messy and generally onshore through the weekend.

Ah well! So it goes eh? Have yourself a top old Monday.

TIDES: H @0655, L @1300

Weather Situation

A weakening cold front is moving along New South Wales central coast. Another cold front will bring southerly change to the southern half of the coast during Tuesday. Behind the front, a high pressure system will move south of the Bight extending a ridge to the southwestern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending northwesterly about 10 knots later in the evening.
Seas
About 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre.

Tuesday 11 October

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southeast to southwesterly up to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Wednesday 12 October

Winds

West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly later.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southerly 1 metre.

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