Hello Friends,

A small number of early risers were flopping around in the small and weak but glassy conditions at Dee Why beach this morning. Swell is out of the south. It’s around 2 metres at sea with an average period of around 8 seconds. What that means is that every now and then you get a set into the waist high range. It’s an improvement over the last week or so, but only just barely.

If you’ve got a hole in the schedule, your best plan pretty obviously is to head for your favourite south swell magnet. That short period means we can’t expect much refraction (as evidenced by the little things at the point), so a good, dead south exposure is the best bet.

Wind is currently light and offshore but the Bureau says we’ll have a E to NE breeze later.

Surf outlook is marginal for as far ahead as the models project. There’s activity in the southern ocean, but frustratingly it is being directed away from our swell window by a succession of high pressure systems. Your best hope is to head for west exposed locations in Vicco or to Margaret River et al. Might be something fun on the NW coast of NZ’s north island.

Keep on smilin’!

TIDES: H @1145, L @1840

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies just off the southern NSW coast and is expected to remain over the Tasman Sea until at least Saturday. A southerly change will affect southern and central parts of the coast Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly at 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre rising to 1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 19 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northerly around dawn then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds increasing to north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Thursday 20 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing up to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

As expected, it’s grey, drizzly and junky – but not flat. Swell is averaging around the 2 metres, it’s dead south and the average period is around 8 seconds with some 11 second component. Wind was around 15kts from the south, so there should be a few options around. However, if Dee Why’s a guide, there isn’t much. True, it’s not flat, but the conditions had attracted only one punter at Dee Why when I checked.

I’ll keep an eye on it through the day because the forecast calls for the wind to drop off a bit. Tomorrow morning could potentially be worth an effort because the wind is supposed to be very light and we should still have a little south energy.
TIDES: H @1100, L @1745

Have yourself a good Monday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred near Adelaide extends a ridge over NSW. The high will move over Victoria on Monday, then over the NSW coast on Tuesday, and over the Tasman Sea Wednesday trough Saturday with an onshore airstream developing along NSW coast.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday 18 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending northeasterly up to 10 knots around midday. Winds increasing to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 19 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.