Hello Friends,
Light SW winds this morning and 3 metres of 10 sec period south swell under mostly cloudy skies greeted early risers this morning. Low tide was at around 0545 and the high’s at about 1220, so in that respect conditions were pretty good. Surface conditions were smooth but quite lumpy. That meant lots of flat spots and sections to be dealt with.
From this morning’s swell modelling, it looks as though we can expect the average size to decrease very gradually across the day, but with luck the drop will be only a couple feet on this morning’s average size.
The larger issue is likely to be the afternoon sea breezes which are expected to be around to the easterly quarters.
The Bureau’s swell modelling shows it dropping to about half the present size, but being offshore for the early tomorrow morning. Thursday’s wind call is for south to south east, so the best shot will probably be the early. Beyond that the models point to potential small but longish period energy on Friday morning and then again on Saturday.
So, if you can hit it today, particularly this morning, that looks like the best plan.
Have yourself a great Tuesday!
Weather Situation
A strong, slow-moving high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge over NSW. The high pressure ridge will continue to dominate inland parts of the state during the week, with a southerly change moving through the coast from Wednesday. During Saturday the high is expected to become centered over the Tasman.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- Winds
- South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southeast to northeasterly in the afternoon and evening.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Wednesday 2 November
- Winds
- Northeast to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending west to northwesterly during the morning ahead of a southeast to southwesterly change 10 to 20 knots around midday.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 3 November
- Winds
-
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly up to 10 knots during the evening.
- Seas
-
Up to 1.5 metres.
- Swell
-
Southerly about 2 metres.
