Marginal morning at Dee Why

Posted by: on November 3rd, 2011

Hello Friends,

Misting heavily when I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crow’s nest this morning. Through the murk I could see three or four folks bobbing around just off the rocks at the point and no one along the beach. The swell is about the same height at sea as yesterday but the average period’s weakened a bit to 9 seconds. Unfortunately at 0800 the wind was dribbling in at 10-13 kts from the ESE, so surface conditions were pretty dire.

The Bureau expects the wind to be out of the S-SE pretty much all day. A recipe for junkiness sadly.

To the extent it matters, the tidal range isn’t going to be very great today. The low at 0800 is less than a metre below the high at 1420.

There aren’t any really interesting developments to report from this morning’s run of the swell forecast interpretations.  No matter how you slice and dice the data, the supercomputers are telling us that we’re in for another week of conditions like this – at best.

Not much of a welcome to summer Huey.

Oh well, my strategy is to keep on smilin’! Go well one and all.

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge over much of New South Wales. Meanwhile, a low pressure trough on the northern coast will shift to the Tasman Sea today as southerly winds extend along the entire coast. During Friday and Saturday the high is expected to move across the Tasman Sea while another trough approaches the state’s west, with northerly winds developing across the region.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.

Friday 4 November

Winds
Light winds tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then tending east to northeasterly by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.

Saturday 5 November

Winds

Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.

Swell

Southerly 1.5 metres.

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