Tiny early, maybe a bit more toward lunch

Posted by: on March 24th, 2012


Hello Friends,

We’re in for a beautiful morning with offshores followed by an afternoon of gradually increasing SE onshores. Our big issues for the morning are an incoming tide and a lack of significant swell energy. At daybreak the MHL buoy was showing a metre of south wind swell with an average period of about 8 seconds. There is still some 11 second period component in the mix, so it may be that stuff we were seeing every now and then at Dee Why for the early.

I’d be keeping an eye on it just in case we get a few east sets from around lunch time. Could be a case of getting your timing exactly right to peak the day’s peak before the SE’r becomes a factor.

Outlook for tomorrow sees some variation in the swell modelling. According to some interpretations of the WAM data, there might be some surfable size at south swell spots thanks to a couple metres of swell. The big question mark is over the quality. This morning’s call from the Bureau is for Sunday to be southerly early, turning SE later.

Next week is shaping to be small and marginal for Monday-Tuesday before we get into a (slightly) rising east swell trend. Byt Friday and next weekend, we could be back into chest to head high plus territory.

TIDES: H @1015 L @1615

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies to the south of WA, with a cold front and low pressure system moving over the Tasman Sea. These systems are producing southwesterly winds over NSW. Over the weekend the high will move slowly east and extend a ridge over most of the state. Early next week the high will move into the Tasman Sea and direct a relatively light east to northeast airflow over NSW.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.

Sunday 25 March

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.

Monday 26 March

Winds

Northeast to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southerly about 2 metres.

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