"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Could be good…

Hello Friends,

Very nice looking swell and wind combo at 0430 or so this morning for Sydney. Swell really popped up over yesterday and was kicking along at 3 metres from the south with a punchy 10 second average period. Plus the wind was light and from the west. By daybreak the Bureau reckons it could be going harder and starting to move into the southerly quarters. Happily, the worst that will happen is that you might see a mix of s to sw this afternoon. And just to add some push, tide’s low at about 0530 and then coming in until 1120. Weather should be clear too.

According to the swell modelling, the pulse will peak during the day and then roll off overnight and be back in the 2 metre range on Friday morning. There’s some divergence in the reckoning for the weekend, so I’ll go conservative and call for 1-1.5m easterly on Saturday and most of Sunday.

Be interesting to see what the Goat reckons, but my reading of the models is that we could potentially see some sizeable stuff on Monday if the next system blobs around Tasmania and in close to the east coast. If it stays out too far in the Tasman, then all the energy will head away from our surf zones.

Apologies for the long absence, but I was away from an Internet connection for the better part of a week. I’m back in Santa Barbara until Tuesday Sydney time, when it’ll be into the aluminium tube once more for the long passage home to Oz. Hoping to get another surf in here before taking off, but it’s microscopic right now…

Have a great day!

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system off the South Coast is moving east, while a high in the Bight remains slow moving. Strong west to southwesterly winds in the airstream between these two systems will gradually ease during Thursday as the low weakens and moves southeast. Winds will become light under the dominating ridge on Friday, then turn north to northwesterly and strengthen on Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. The front is expected to bring south to southwesterly change to New South Wales coast during late Saturday and Sunday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
Friday 27 April
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to variable below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre in the afternoon and evening.
Saturday 28 April
Winds
West to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.