Mighty unmighty this morning

Posted by: on May 12th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Only a metre of SE wind swell at sea this morning off Sydney. Worse, the average period is just 6 seconds. So, there really isn’t much of anything going on at Dee Why as the day gets started. There were a few bods bobbing in the limpid waters up toward No Mans, but I didn’t see them snag anything from the sub-waist high conditions. There is a distinct, but short duration pulse showing in the buoy data from down the coast and the swell forecast is calling for it to reach here about lunchtime. It’s just as short period as the present dribble, so I’d say we should see an uptick in size to maybe waist to chest on the bombs. The SW wind is due to turn west and pick up into the 20-25kt range though and that could tend to hold the swell offshore.

Tomorrow’s prospects are looking distinctly puny according to the swell models, but we’re still expecting to see something of interest on Monday as a solid looking south pulse fills in and then basically looks to hang around through mid-week.

The south is forecast to be around the 3 metre mark at sea and the models are showing periods in the 11-13 second range, so it ought to be into the overhead to 1.5x overhead range at exposed spots. Wind is going to be pretty strong and from the SW. Could be another interesting Monday.

Tide was low at 0745 and will hit high at 1355 or so. But the tide is changing by less than a metre, so the banks should basically be about the same all day.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

Weather Situation
A trough and associated cold front move over the northern coast. Windier conditions will persist in the the far south in a wake of the front on Saturday. A high will gradually approach from the west, maintaining a vigorous southerly airstream across the region during Sunday and Monday, assisted by further fronts brushing the state’s southeast. An increasing southerly swell is expected to develop later on the weekend.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Sunday 13 May
Westerly 20 to 25 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 30 knots during the afternoon.
1.5 to 2 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Monday 14 May
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.

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