Hello Friends,
One of those mornings when a quick glance out the window at the wind whipping through the trees and an equally brief squizz at the MHL data tells you all you need to know about the surf – or lack thereof. Just off the coast of Sydney where MHL’s buoy registers the current conditions, the swell is around the half-metre mark. The primary direction is SE and the average period is a pathetic 5 seconds. This is not a recipe for waves on Sydney’s beaches. Abject flatness more like.
I’m very confident that you will not be surfing in Sydney today.
However, from the look of this morning’s swell modelling, I’d say there’s at least a chance of something on Sunday. The Bureau’s swell prediction shows easterly swell in the chest high range at exposed spots filling in from around 1000. At the same time the wind should be in the 10-15 kt range from the SW under partly cloudy skies (with the odd possible shower).
The swell models have been bouncing around for the last few days and this morning sees them drifting into a funk of sorts. Tomorrow is now looking like it could be the best of the week to come. But… there appears to be some hope for Monday morning as well. You’ll need to find a protected corner though, because if the forecast holds true, it’s gonna be southerly (and overcast).
Looking further ahead I’d say Thursday morning is a possibility. If the planets align as foretold in by the supercomputers, we just might see a brief (as in 6-8 hours) southerly pulse with SW winds.
Go forth and have yourself a grand Saturday!
Weather Situation
Westerly airstream has developed over coastal areas in a wake of the recent front. Meanwhile a complex low pressure system to the south is intensifying near Bass Strait, before moving towards the southeast during the weekend. This low will direct vigorous west to southwesterly winds across the coast during Saturday, easing later as a high pressure system in the Bight gradually extend a ridge across New South Wales. The high should strengthen and move slowly east during the early part of the new week, directing generally southerly winds along the coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Sunday 27 May
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Monday 28 May
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
