Breezy start, not much energy

Posted by: on September 26th, 2012

Hello Friends,

One of those mornings when you look at it and want to go straight to the forecasts to see if there’s any hope for later in the day. As of 0800, I couldn’t see anyone in the water from just south of the pole to the point at Dee Why. The MHL data is showing SSE at about 1.5 metres. There’s only 8-9 seconds in the period column, so what we have is struggling to reach knee to thigh high. Wind was out of the north and making the surface conditions a little scrappy as well.

So… what about those swell prediction modellers… hmmm… not too flash I’m afraid. Energy settings look like sticking around at this level through to tomorrow arvo. A SE change is set down on the Sydney dance card for Thursday afternoon, but its effect on surf prospects is likely to be marginal. Yes, the wave heights should bump up, but the average period is likely to be a wind swell-y 6-8 seconds. Maybe when the wind comes back around to the north again on Friday, we’ll have a little something to mess about with in the north corners.

Long range is still looking like, well, spring. Funny that.

So roll on through your day and get up to some good!

TIDES: H @0515, L @1105

Weather Situation
A high pressure system strengthens over the western Tasman Sea, while a deep low pressure trough approaches South Australia. This trough, and its associated cold front, will move through the state on Friday and Saturday. North to northeasterly winds will increase today as the system approaches before tending northwesterly during Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly below 10 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon, then easing to 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres decreasing to about 1 metre this afternoon and evening.
Thursday 27 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the early afternoon then tending north to northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Friday 28 September
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1 metre becoming 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms from midday.

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