Southerly powering along but not the waves

Posted by: on November 13th, 2012


Hello Friends,

The south wind hit at around midnight and our surf prospects have been pretty much demolished. There were a few bods in the water at Dee Why waiting around for the very occasional waist high set. But the MHL data tells the tale: south, 2 metres @ 6 seconds. If you don’t mind stiff southerlies, there should be a little more size at the exposed spots – and you can be confident there won’t be a crowd!

The long range forecasts continue their glum outlook again this morning. It’s going to bump along at near flatness levels for another week at least. With any luck, we’ll still have the odd longboardable lump at beaches facing the primary swell direction. But today the wind pretty much forecloses that option for all but the onshore cognoscenti.

So off we all go, into the wonders (or otherwise) of Tuesday 13 November. Hope yours is a good one!

Tides: L @0705, H @1340

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred off the New South Wales coast extends a weakening ridge over the state. A trough will and southerly change lies near central parts of the coast this morning and is expected to move northwards before stalling in the Mid North Coast this afternoon. Winds will then turn northeasterly again ahead of a more significant frontal system approaching from the west. The front is likely to bring a southerly change to the far south on Thursday afternoon with the change progressing along the New South Wales coast and reaching the far north on Friday morning. Following this a high pressure ridge will begin to develop over southeastern Australia on Saturday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the morning, before easing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Wednesday 14 November
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Thursday 15 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots ahead of a southerly change 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.

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