Happy New Year Friends,
Going by the WRL cam images and the MHL data, it looks as though there might be a bit of weak but occasionally catchable NE wind swell bump along exposed stretches. But I don’t think it’ll last long after the wind swings SE later.
Tide was high around 1130, but I doubt that it’ll be much of a factor where the surf is concerned.
Outlook for the next few days isn’t too promising for Sydney surfers. There’s some potential for a wave in the morning tomorrow at most spots according to the models. Nothing amazing looking, but maybe some waist plus sets.
Overnight the projections for TC Freda have gone the wrong way where we’re concerned. The modelling that showed it turning into a juicy east coast low has been replaced with a less interesting forecast of a dissipating system that may not deliver us much at all. I’m hoping for waist to chest plus late in the weekend into the middle of next week at this point.
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is centred near New Zealand and is extending a ridge over the New South Wales north coast. A weak southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the far southern Tasman Sea lies through central parts of the coast. The change will change weaken further on central parts of the coast this morning as another high moves towards Tasmania extending a ridge along the southern coast. This high is expected to move over the Tasman Sea by Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening. Inshore afternoon sea breezes.
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning.
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 2 January
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 1 metre during the evening.
Thursday 3 January
Variable about 10 knots.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly 1.5 metres.