Hello Friends,
At 0600 swell was out of the SE at close to 2 metres with an average period of 8 seconds. Wind was SSE at 8-10 knots, and the next tide was a high at 1145. Morning cloud is set to clear away and the wind is due to come around to the NE and be a bog standard 15-20kts by this afternoon. Beaches with south exposure will be the best shot, but my reading of the numbers suggests that Sydney surfers won’t be seeing much quality. Still, it probably won’t be flat (assuming you’re prepared to chase waves where the wind is strongest this morning).
Water temp seems to be edging up toward 22 offshore, but with the NEr this afternoon, it may not be quite as warm along the beach. Contrast that with the water where your correspondent is however. If I want to go for a surf (which I can’t because SoCal is flat), I’ll have to rug up against 12 degrees!!! Not sure my wimpy 3/2 will cut it when the swell arrives here mid next weeknd…
Outlook for Sydney is pretty ordinary. The models project marginal to near flat for this week, but maybe late in the weekend, there could be some longer period and juicier stuff if a south swell develops.
Go well with your Tuesday!
Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system has formed over the Tasman Sea, east of Bass Strait, and extends a ridge to the NSW north coast. The high will move slowly east across the Tasman over the next couple of days. The next front/trough system will approach NSW during Thursday with northerly winds strengthening along the coast, before a southerly change on southern parts of the coast on Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to easterly about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 16 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots early in the morning then tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 17 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 0.5 metres tending easterly from the morning.
