Rainy start and smaller again too

Posted by: on June 29th, 2013

0700: Rainy, smaller
Hello Friends,

Not the most enticing conditions for an early morning surf at Dee Why. There were some little waves (probably around the chest high range on sets) but given the on-again, off-again rain and the somewhat bumpy and floppy looking swell, there were no takers as of 0700.

The Bureau tells us that the early light and variable winds will wander around to the SE before long, and that the swell will weaken. I guess it had to sooner or later. After all, it’s been head high or bigger for most of June.

As a glance at the weather radar confirms, the forecast for rainy periods all day is looking entirely plausible.

So, the already foul looking water won’t be cleaning up anytime soon.

The lumpy, bumpy marginal and generally showery conditions look set to last through to mid-week. According to this morning’s run of the swell forecast models, for the next week our stretch of the east coast looks like being mostly in the waist to chest range – depending obviously on the details of swell direction, beach and tide. Wind is expected to be mainly SE over the next three days, so early morning will be the best shot for slightly cleaner conditions.

Tides: L @0705 H@1320

Keep on smilin’ one and all, we still have a fair amount of the winter surf season in front of us!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 29 June 2013.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near the Bight extends a ridge across the southern Tasman Sea and a low pressure lies trough off New South Wales north. During Sunday the trough will deepen with a low forming within the trough on Monday before moving away from the coast during Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southeast to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, becoming more likely in the morning. The chance of thunderstorms tonight.

Sunday 30 June

Winds
Southeasterly below 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Monday 1 July

Winds

Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.

Seas

1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.

Swell

Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.

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