Small and lumpy looking

Posted by: on July 31st, 2013

Dribbler at the point Bob-bob-bobbing along
Unusually good peak
Hello Friends,

We have a little, sloppy SSE wind swell washing in this morning. Looking at the Sydney directional spectra, the dominant energy is coming from the S-SE at about 7 seconds apart. It’s a couple of metres out at sea, but the biggest sets I saw at Dee Why were struggling to make the chest high mark. Around at south Narrabeen the mix of swells was creating the occasional focused chest plus peak. Nobody seemed to be in the water up at Northy.

Wind was around 10kts from the SW as the day kicked off, so relatively clean at some stretches, but definitely choppy elsewhere. The Bureau says it’ll go southerly and get up to 15-20kts though. And, we’re looking at those southerlies persisting through tomorrow.

Tides: L @0845, H @1530

At this stage, Friday morning looks potentially interesting as we’re supposed to see the average period stretch out over the next 24 hours so that we could be over the 10 second mark by tomorrow. From this morning’s run of the swell prediction models, it looks as though the waves will tail off over the weekend and that next week will be microscopic. Are the spring doldrums arriving early?

Actually, it very well could be an early spring given the following from the folks who also provide the sophisticated swell prediction models we all rely on these days…

June was one of the hottest such months on record globally, based on newly released data from NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The month extended the unbroken string of warmer-than-average months to 340, or a stretch of more than 28 years. That means that no one under the age of 28 has ever experienced a month in which global average temperatures were cooler than average (based on the 20th century average). link

Go well and get up to some good where you can!

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends across southern New South Wales in the wake of a cold front, while a low intensifies over the Coral Sea. The combination of these systems will maintain southerly winds along much of the coast during the next day or two. The ridge is expected to weaken during Thursday as the next cold front approaches from the west. This front is expected to cross the state during Friday and Saturday, bringing a west to southwesterly change. Another weaker front is forecast to follow on Sunday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 1 August
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly in the evening.
Up to 1 metre.
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Friday 2 August
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.

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