Southerly and small

Posted by: on October 7th, 2013

0630 situation
Hello Friends,
Had to be on deck early for a stint on 702 ABC with Simon Marnie, so grabbed a snap of the beach as soon as there was enough light. Wind is blowing pretty steadily from the SSW at 15-20 kts and the 1.5 metre swell is coming from the SSW at just 6 seconds apart. The consequence is as you see from the pic, namely where there’s enough exposure, a small knee to waist high line is showing, but the better the exposure, the stronger the wind.

According to the Bureau, the wind will gradually go around to the SE by late in the day and while it’ll back off a little, it won’t be much. Looking at the Meteye page, it seems as though we might possibly have a few options at the semi-protected south corners around midday when the lower tide and slight change in swell direction could possibly deliver a modest improvement on the present paltry offering.

Not much on offer in this morning’s swell forecasts models. If they have it right, we’ll be scratching for a scraps until Friday at the earliest, when we might get another short-lived south pulse (and wind).

Another good week for working coming up it would seem.

Before I go, I just wanted to acknowledge all you fine folk who’ve pledged toward the crowdfunding goal. We’re getting within sight of the target now. As you can’t have failed to notice, the page is surrounded by Perfect Waves now. That’s because in addition to their continuing ad support, they’re going to kick in a serious pledge as well. So, here’s a thought for all of you folks who’ve been meaning to get around to it, why not make today the day that you add your pledge to the mix?

Have yourself a great Monday and go well with your plans.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Monday 7 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A gusty southerly change is moving along New South Wales far south coast and it is expected to reach the central coast later in the evening and the far north coast on Monday morning. Behind the change a high pressure pressure ridge will develop over the Tasman Sea on Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Monday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots late in the day/evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 8 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Wednesday 9 October
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.

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