Over the horizon

Posted by: on October 30th, 2013

Hello Friends,

It was still dark in Sydney as I wrote this early on Wednesday morning. Wind was lightly out of the SW and the next tide was a low at 1050. The MHL spectral data was showing a fair amount of south swell – up to 3 metres – with an average period of 9 seconds. If the wind stays SW, then day breakers could be in for some solid waves at magnet spots. I’m guessing chest on up to potentially solidly overhead on the bombs. The Bureau is calling for southerly wind through the day, so it may be kinda ordinary. There also seem to be a few showers about on the radar too.

Swell looks likely to fade overnight, but maybe Thursday morning at south spots will be worth the effort.

Beyond that, the models are currently showing not much in prospect for Sydney until maybe early next week.

Oddly enough, the same is true for southern California. Right now the weather is perfect, but there’s no wave energy to speak of. The nearest magnet spot to me at the moment is California Street in Ventura (about 50km south). Looking at the local cam, it’s just barely twitching with sub knee high dribblers. However, the current modelling is predicting waist to chest at west magnet spots from Sunday to Weds (when I get on the plane to come home). I’m hoping by that stage my very sick friend will be well enough to get out of hospital and be recovering at home.

So, here’s what the webcam showed Ventura looking like earlier:

C-street about as marginal as it can get and still be catchable. Weirdly wind free too.

C-street about as marginal as it can get and still be catchable. Weirdly wind free too.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 30 October 2013.
Weather Situation
Winds along the coast are expected to ease during Wednesday and Thursday as a high pressure ridge develops over the western Tasman Sea. Next southerly change is likely to affect the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 31 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon then tending southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre , then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Friday 1 November
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

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