Hello Friends,
Back in Sydney and de-jetlagging. Went out for a look around about 0630 and discovered that it wasn’t quite as dire as the forecast had said it would be. The rain was in abeyance and the SE wind was very light. There’s about 1.5 metres of ESE wind swell lapping in, so waves big enough to be caught were in the waist high range for the most part. You’ll need your ripple rider though, because with an average period around the 7 second mark, there’s not much power on tap.
Given the swell angle, both North Narra and Dee Why were approximately the same size. Neither was crowded in any substantive sense. I haven’t had a wave in a month and I have to say, I’m not sure it’s quite stoking enough to lure me in. Plus, a look at the radar shows a fair amount of precipitation just offshore and the SE wind will soon be making itself felt (forecast is 15-20 kts SE this am, swinging south late).
High tide was at 0700, so from that perspective at least there could possibly be a little improvement… maybe…
Outlook for the next few days is for more SE wind and more weak wind bump with it. The forecast for the week ahead says we can anticipate the onshores and occasional showers to last until Wednesday, when we could get a brief NW change (and warmer temps). However, there are no substantial swell generators coming into our window that I can see, so it’s likely to be generally small, weak and marginal. We’ll all have to hunt around for optimal peaks and optimal moments.
Good to be home though!
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Saturday 16 November 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system southeast of the Bight extends a ridge to the southern Tasman Sea and a low pressure trough off New South Wales north coast is deepening. During Sunday the high will move east of Tasmania extending a ridge to the south coast and a low will develop within the trough off the Mid-North coast. This low is expected to move away from the coast during Wednesday as a cold front moves over the southwestern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then tending easterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Scattered thunderstorms, becoming less likely during the evening.
Sunday 17 November
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore until evening.
Monday 18 November
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
