"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Grey, rainy, glassy – and some waves

Hello Friends,
Around 0845 when I grabbed the first pictures of the day, it was looking glassy and waist plus on the sets along the beach at Dee Why. A surprisingly healthy turn-out too, especially given the gloomy, showery and generally unlovely weather.
Swell’s showing as coming from the SE, but a glance at the 0500 spectra data from MHL indicates that we have short period wind swell coming from almost the NE around to the south. South of us at Port Kembla and Eden, the swell is more distinctly SSE and although the same size as Sydney (about a metre on average at sea), the average period is a healthy 12 seconds or so (as compared to the 7-8 offshore of Sydney).
Tide was high at 0810 and is dropping to a lowish low at 1445.
Wind should come up soon from the SE and be into the 10-15 kt range. Showers should ease off later.
Outlook is for the swell to stay around the current levels through the day (the models aren’t showing that longer period stuff reaching this far north). The week ahead isn’t looking all that interesting according to the aforementioned models. There might be a brief south pulse around midweek, but the general outlook is for marginal, barely waist high but not utterly flat conditions.
Have yourself a fun old Sunday!

This one ran a reasonable distance (0845)
This one ran a reasonable distance (0845)

Lots of folk undeterred by the rain.
Lots of folk undeterred by the rain.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving from the west towards Tasmania extending a ridge to the east. This high will move over the southwestern Tasman Sea on Monday strengthening the ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front is expected to bring a brief southerly change to the south coast during Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Monday 3 March
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 4 March
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.