The Goat was right

Posted by: on March 8th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Sadly, exactly as the mighty Goat foretold, we have not a thing this morning. Tide, wind and swell data are all irrelevant to surfers. We’ve got a metre of SE wind bump showing out at sea, but if Dee Why’s a reasonable guide, you’ll be doing well to find a thigh high bomb set at maximally exposed spots. And the modelling gives no indication of immediate improvement.

While the next 4-5 days are looking tiny to flat, the good news is that the forecast models are still showing substantial change late in the week (maybe as early as Friday morning) as a big and persistent east regime develops. Things start looking wild and woolly in the Coral Sea region by mid week as a nice long easterly fetch begins to set up for us. The brunt of the energy will hit north of our region, but on current reckoning we could see east swell into the 2x overhead range late Saturday-early Sunday – with N-NW wind. The high intensity stuff is showing as lasting into Monday morning before dropping back to smaller as the week rolls out.

So, rack up the brownie points this now, because you may need to be absent for prolonged periods next weekend.

Go well and stay happy!

Tides: [email protected] [email protected]

Daybreak on the Northern Beaches.

Daybreak on the Northern Beaches.

Nothin' doin' - again.

Nothin’ doin’ – again.

Something large and inflatable would work - maybe.

Something large and inflatable would work – maybe.

Not enough for a surf lesson.

Not enough for a surf lesson.

Weather Situation
A trough over the southern Tasman Sea is weakening as a high pressure system moves to the east of Tasmania extending a ridge along New South Wales coast. This high is expected to be slow-moving over the next few days until a southerly change moves through the south coast in the middle of the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
Sunday 9 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Monday 10 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.

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