Hello Friends,
Pretty quiet at Dee Why this morning. Only person I could see in the water was a kayak user. Looked to be the best option for catching waves too. Wave faces on the bigger ones are probably around knee to waist-ish. But there are no banks as such and with only a metre of 8 second period east wind swell, very little power. Outlook is for the conditions to stay at about this level for the next few days.
Depending upon the model you look at, the expected swell could turn up as early as Thursday evening, or as late as Saturday morning. As so often happens once you get close to a forecast big swell event, the predictions scale back. At the conservative end, the modelling is showing waist high at a place like Dee Why from Friday late through Saturday, then bumping up into the double overhead range for Sunday-Monday as the long period stuff starts to hit. More optimally angled stretches should be a bit bigger again.
All fun stuff, so here’s hoping the forecasts match up with reality, especially the call for westerly wind and solid east on Monday!
Weather Situation
A weak high pressure ridge will persist over the northern coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to New South Wales south coast this morning with southerlies extending to the central coast in the late afternoon and evening. The change will weaken on the Hunter Coast overnight as another high moves towards Tasmania strengthening a ridge across the western Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms inshore from the late morning, extending throughout from early this afternoon.
Thursday 13 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, contracting offshore during the evening.
Friday 14 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
