Slumping back

Posted by: on April 29th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Tide was swallowing up any interesting looking lines coming into Dee Why at 0700. Swell has dropped back from 1.5 to 1 metre from the SE, although the average period is still 12 seconds. That could mean the odd interesting little waist high plus bump at SE magnet spots once the tide starts dropping late this morning. Wind is set to be out of the north 15-20 kts, so that could be an issue too. Weather outlook is for partly cloudy.

Will try to come back later with some thoughts about the outlook. Broadly speaking though, it looks like being small to nearly flat through to the late weekend – but there seems to be some divergence among the model interpretations (ie something for the optimists).

Tides: H @0900, L @1410

Sets didn't get much bigger than this @ 0800

Sets didn’t get much bigger than this @ 0800

Typical set Longy lugga peak @0830

Typical set Longy lugga peak @0830

Paddle makes the difference on a "Long Wait" set

Paddle makes the difference on a “Long Wait” set

Lotta shutdowns at the Lugga

Lotta shutdowns at the Lugga

Situation at 0700

Deceptive lines approach a solitary searcher (they didn't do anything).

Deceptive lines approach a solitary searcher (they didn’t do anything).

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will continue to move eastwards on Tuesday, extending a ridge over northeast New South Wales. The passage of a cold front is expected late on Tuesday, with a southerly change moving up the coast on Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Wednesday 30 April
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning west to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Scattered thunderstorms offshore developing in the morning, becoming less likely in the afternoon, clearing at night.
Thursday 1 May
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.

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