Faded and fading but not flat

Posted by: on July 12th, 2014

Hello Friends,

A lovely 5 degrees at 0700 when I climbed aloft for my first look at the sea today. It wasn’t detering a hardy band of keen types from getting amongst the fading south swell down at Dee Why though. There were a few bods sitting hopefully at the point, but that looked to be maybe thigh high on the best of ’em. The beach was more the go. Shutting down quite a bit of course, but at least some of the set wave faces were still into the chest high range.

First tide of the day is a high at 0750.

Outlook is for the odd isolated shower to develop later, but it should be sunny and westerly before then. Swell is mainly out of the south and registering around the 1.5 metre mark with an average period of 10 seconds. Water out where the buoy is shows a temp of 18C, but inshore where we surf, your mileage may vary as they say.

The rain, if we get any, will be arriving with a wind change to the S-SW late. Tomorrow morning should be strong southerly, so I reckon it might be a sleep-in sort of day. Sunday swell not shaping to be too interesting. The odd lumpy bit in the waist to chest range in the teeth of the wind, but elsewhere I reckon it’s likely to be marginal.

The southerlies look set to continue into Monday and to go more SE in the evening. Some of the forecast models predict an uptick in the swell, so possibly protected corners could get something. The Bureau is less hopeful though. It says south swell fading for Monday’s outlook.

The remainder of the week seems to be lining up with the Goat’s predictions.

Have yourself a great Saturday and keep on smilin’!

Skirting the rocks before 0700

Skirting the rocks before 0700

Weather Situation

A weakening high pressure system lies over northern New South Wales. A cold front will bring a strong south to southwesterly change to the southern and central coasts today, reaching the north coast tomorrow morning. A low is likely to develop on the front over the Central Tasman Sea tomorrow and in conjunction with a strong high south of the Bight is expected to produced further fresh to strong winds along the NSW coast. The high is expected to move east during Sunday and Monday, to be situated over southeast NSW Monday night, then over the southern Tasman on Tuesday night with winds moderating and tending more easterly during this period.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon/evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the morning.

Sunday 13 July

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning.
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Monday 14 July

Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Looking okay for a mal

Looking okay for a mal

Sharing the Saturday morning surfin' love

Sharing the Saturday morning surfin’ love

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