Hello Friends,
Only the faintest hint of energy this morning. The MHL Sydney buoy was showing a metre of 5-second NE wind swell at 0600 and by the time I checked conditions at 0800 the tiny waves were little more than a rime of white on the rocks at Dee Why. Better exposed spots might offer the odd knee high wavelet, but the person bobbing hopefully around at the point didn’t look likely to be troubled by anything as big as that.
It’s an absolutely beautiful morning though.
The flatness looks likely to persist for another day and a half. Tuesday afternoon should potentially see an interesting change as we see a couple of metres (potentially) of south swell in combo with late afternoon offshores.
This morning’s long range models are pointing to more activity from late Tuesday through into next week. If the more optimistic modelling is right, Monday and Tuesday week could be pretty fun at south swell spots. That’d be right. I’ll be back on the sidelines for a few weeks from Thursday. We’ve all been there.
Have a great Sunday everyone!
Weather Situation
A high in the Tasman Sea is currently extending a weak ridge back across New South Wales. A trough and weak southerly change, associated with a low pressure centre moving well to the south of Tasmania, will extend along southern and central parts of the coast today. The southerly change will move to the north coast on Monday, as a weak low pressure centre moves from the Bight into western New South Wales. Winds along the coast will freshen from the north to northeast on Tuesday as the low approaches and then crosses the coast later in the day. Winds will then shift southwesterly Tuesday night or Wednesday as the low moves into the Tasman Sea and a ridge begins to build from the southwest.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening.
Monday 15 September
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Tuesday 16 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the morning then shifting westerly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
