Looks like surfing isn’t really on the agenda this morning, or indeed today. Wind was already ESE 9-10 kts by daybreak and the Bureau says it’ll continue like this through the afternoon. The MHL Sydney buoy is showing about a metre of 6 second period SE wind swell. That likely means nothing above knee to waist high onshore dribble at the biggest spots. The Eden buoy is showing 9-second period stuff though.
Happily tomorrow is looking a better prospect with a low tide early and the charts showing a south swell filling in later in the day. If it plays out as expected the magnet spots could be seeing chest to head high on the bigger ones. With luck Sydney surfers should have fun ones for a couple of days out of this event.
Wish I could say the same for Santa Barbara. You may have heard about the big system spawned by ex super typhoon Nuri now in the north Pacific. It looks like slinging solid but not record swell at Hawaii. Southern California may or may not score something late this week but in the meantime it’s pretty much flat, particularly in well-protected Santa Barbara.
Have a great day and here’s a little postcard from Cali for you…
Given the dire flatness around here, I’ve decided to share a screen cap from surfline.com’s Pleasure Point cam. Pleasure Point is way up north from here in the wave-rich Santa Cruz area. Even so, it looks pretty feeble and gutless. No sign of big swell there yet.
A slow-moving trough on the northern New South Wales coast is expected to reach the Queensland border during Tuesday, while a high south of the Bight extends a ridge towards the Tasman Sea. This pattern will maintain southerly winds over coastal areas today, bolstered in the south by the passage of a cold front early this morning. On Wednesday the high is expected to move across Bass Strait to the Tasman Sea, bringing a gradual return to more northerly winds, strengthening Thursday/Friday ahead of the next frontal system on the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times later this morning and early afternoon.
- Around 1 metre.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Cloudy. 50% chance of a shower.
Wednesday 12 November
- Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
- Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the early morning.
Thursday 13 November
- Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Southerly 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy.