Looks interesting early

Posted by: on November 14th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Interesting combo swell this morning in Sydney. The MHL buoy is showing 2 metres at 12 seconds from the SE along with 1-1-5 metres of 6+ sec NE wind bump. Tide’s low around 0800 and the day promises to be abnormally warm (again). Wind’s north early and will pick up as the day goes along, so that’ll likely bump out the sth corners. I reckon waist to chest plus at bigger spots.

Tomorrow is supposed to be southerly and the south component is set to dial back while the short period NE bumps slightly. I bet it won’t be so red hot. Maybe knee to waist-ish at standout spots.

Still playing the waiting game in Santa Barbara but it’s beginning to look hopeful for at least something maybe late this arvo and definitely tomorrow. My fingers are crossed for waist to chest plus around here (further south and up north it’ll be into the head plus to 2x overhead potentially at magnets around Santa Cruz).

A couple of postcards for you this morning, first was snapped a few hours ago at Mesa Lane where a little long period line was showing every 10 mins or so, and the second is a picture yesterday arvo of a spot called El Capitan which can, on rare occasions, fire up in a serious way (think Angourie inside).

Have a great day!

Mesa Lane showing a perfect little west line probably knee to waist high

Mesa Lane showing a perfect little west line probably knee to waist high

El Capitan slumbering in the afternoon wind

El Capitan slumbering in the afternoon wind

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is slowly moving east across the southern Tasman Sea maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. Northerly winds will increase during Friday ahead of a gusty southerly change associated with a cold front developing on the south coast in the afternoon, extending to Sydney Waters late evening and to the far north coast during Saturday morning. Winds are expected to briefly turn northerly during Sunday ahead of another south to southwesterly change and east to northeasterly on Monday and Tuesday as another high moves over southeastern Australia.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots inshore in the late evening. Winds shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 15 November

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening.

Sunday 16 November

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.

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