Swell seems to have faded rather dramatically in Sydney. The MHL buoy was showing about a metre of east swell at 10 seconds as of 0300. Wind was light SW at daybreak as I wrote this but the Bureau says it’ll be southerly before long – and then it’ll go SE. Tide’s low at 0910, so given the dropping swell and looming wind, I’d be getting to the beach for the early – and not expecting too much either. Stand out spots may be in the waist to chest range, but I reckon that’s being hopeful really.
Tomorrow is shaping to be smaller, but the wind could mean north corners may possibly have some grovel-worthy option or other.
There could be a trickle of surfable stuff on Monday as well, but right now the rest of the week is looking marginal at best according to the current modelling.
Today’s postcard from Cali was taken a few hours ago at Arroyo Burro beach in Santa Barbara (where I learned to surf). Swell has popped up as expected but weirdly, despite the glassy conditions and head high bomb sets, there was one guy in the water when I checked. My plan is to get in the water later, so with any luck I may come back with a pic or two to share tomorrow.
Have yourself a top day everyone!
A slow-moving trough and associated southerly change lie on the northern New South Wales coast, while a weak high pressure ridge is developing over southern parts. A second trough, currently near Adelaide, is expected to move east tonight, with a deepening low centre developing as it reaches the south coast during Sunday. This should see winds intensifying in southern and central areas, before the low moves away to the east overnight. Following this, conditions should ease at the start of the new week as then next high pressure system drifts across from the west.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
- Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.
Sunday 16 November
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
- Variable about 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then turning southeast to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of rain in the morning and early afternoon.
Monday 17 November
- Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, tending 1 metre during the morning.
- Southerly around 1 metre, tending 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Mostly sunny.