Pre-dawn wind was northerly and it should stay that way for the first few hours of daylight before turning gradually to the NE. The MHL buoy was showing ENE wind swell of about 1.3 metres with some nearly 10 second component. My hunch is that means marginal dribble most places and maybe the odd waist high thing at magnet spots. The Bureau says the swell should come up a little during the day, but I’m not convinced it’ll amount to much.
Tomorrow morning could be a touch better, but Tuesday looks southerly and messy at this stage.
Nothing going on in the Santa Barbara surf zones this morning, although if you were truly desperate, it might be possible to get something in the knee to waist range after the tide turns, but before it drops too much.
A couple of postcards from Cali…
A high pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the Queensland coast directing east to northeasterly winds along New South Wales coast. During Sunday morning a low pressure trough will bring a southerly change to the south coast extending to Sydney Waters in the late afternoon before weakening on the Hunter coast overnight. A stronger southerly change associated with a cold front is expected to develop on the south coast Monday night and move up the coast during Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
- North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
- Northerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
- Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon.
Monday 24 November
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
- 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
- Northerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Tuesday 25 November
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.