At 0100 this morning there was about 1.3 metres of 8-9 second period ENE wind swell showing on the MHL buoy. A little before 0400 the wind was around 15 kts from the SE and tide was headed to a low at around 0510. So, not the most promising outlook for the dawn patrol. If you have to give it a miss, don’t feel bad, conditions look dire from here.
Outlook remains marginal at best for the coming week and beyond in Sydney. Argh. Was really hoping for some fun summery beach break activity when I get back. Speaking of which, it’s pretty unlikely that I’ll be in a position to file a report between now and Tuesday morning, so here’s hoping the models have it all wrong and that when I get back everybody will be telling me how I really missed it…
Go well and see ya soon.
A high to the west of Bass Strait is extending a ridge along the southern New South Wales coast in the wake of a low pressure trough, which is forecast to reach the Queensland border early this afternoon. The ridge will become the dominant synoptic feature during the next day or two, with generally southeasterly winds shifting more northerly on Friday and Saturday as a new high centre strengthens over the western Tasman Sea. This pattern is expected to block the progress of any approaching cold fronts until at least the early part of next week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
- Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
- 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre in the afternoon.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy. 40% chance of a shower this morning.
Friday 28 November
- South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon then tending northeasterly in the evening.
- Below 1 metre.
- Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy.
Saturday 29 November
- North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1.5 metres.